Soaring Memory Prices Could Kill Off Budget PCs and Smartphones
Analyst warns ballooning DRAM and NAND costs will push entry-level devices out of reach for many consumers
The memory price surge is being driven by a combination of factors: increased demand from AI data centres hoovering up high-bandwidth memory, constrained manufacturing capacity after years of underinvestment, and the ongoing transition to newer process nodes that has temporarily reduced yields.
For consumers, the impact is direct — memory typically accounts for a significant portion of a device's bill of materials. When DRAM and NAND prices spike, manufacturers of budget devices face an impossible choice: absorb the costs and destroy margins, or raise prices and lose the budget-conscious buyers who are their core market.
The forecast decline in PC shipments adds another headwind for an industry already struggling with weak consumer demand in many markets. Smartphone makers in emerging economies, where budget devices dominate, could be hit particularly hard.
Analysis
Why This Matters
Budget devices are the on-ramp to computing for billions of people globally. If entry-level PCs and smartphones become unaffordable, it widens the digital divide.
Background
Memory prices are cyclical, but this spike is unusual because it is partly driven by AI demand cannibalising supply that would otherwise go to consumer devices. Samsung, SK Hynix, and Micron have all prioritised HBM production for AI chips.
Key Perspectives
Device manufacturers are lobbying memory makers to maintain consumer allocations. Memory companies counter that AI margins are simply too attractive to ignore.
What to Watch
Q2 2026 pricing data and whether any manufacturers announce budget device line discontinuations.