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Economist Predicts Trump Fed Pick Warsh Will Slash Interest Rates 100 Basis Points This Year

Robin Brooks says Warsh-led Fed will cut rates hard and fast, contradicting fears of slower easing

Nonepaper Staff2 min read
A leading economist predicts that Kevin Warsh, President Trump pick to lead the Federal Reserve, will cut interest rates by 100 basis points this year—a forecast that contradicts market fears about slower monetary easing under new leadership.

Economist Robin Brooks argues that a Warsh-led Fed would move aggressively to lower rates, potentially delivering cuts faster than markets currently anticipate. The prediction challenges the conventional view that Trump Fed picks might prioritize inflation fighting over growth support.

The forecast suggests markets may be mispricing the policy path under new Fed leadership, with implications for asset prices across equities, bonds, and cryptocurrencies.

Analysis

Why This Matters

Fed leadership directly affects borrowing costs, asset prices, and economic conditions for every American. Aggressive rate cuts would boost growth but risk reigniting inflation.

Key Perspectives

Brooks view represents a contrarian take on Warsh. Many analysts expect a more hawkish Fed under Trump appointees given inflation concerns.

What to Watch

Warsh confirmation process and early signals about his policy priorities once in position.

Sources