Speaking to reporters in Canberra, Prime Minister Anthony Albanese stated that the GST distribution system would not change under his leadership, ending speculation of a potential overhaul ahead of the next federal budget. The current agreement, which determines how the $80 billion in annual GST revenue is divided among the states, is due for renegotiation in 2027.
Premiers from several states—including New South Wales, Victoria, and Queensland—have publicly argued for a revised formula that better accounts for population growth and economic shifts. Western Australia has been a particularly vocal critic, claiming it receives a disproportionately small share for its contribution.
"We have a system that works, and I’m not going to open that can of worms," Albanese said. "My focus is on delivering cost-of-living relief and strengthening Medicare, not on a bureaucratic fight over who gets what share of the pie."
However, the premiers have not backed down. Victorian Premier Jacinta Allan pressed the case on Wednesday, saying her state’s growing population and stretched infrastructure warrant a larger allocation. Queensland Premier Steven Miles echoed these concerns, noting that his state’s disaster recovery costs are rising.
The dispute highlights a long-standing tension in Australian federalism: the need for equalisation versus the desire for states to keep more of the revenue they generate. Economist Saul Eslake warned that deferring reform risks widening the gap between states: "The current system is designed to ensure poorer states can provide services on par with richer ones, but it creates resentment and inefficiencies."
While the federal government holds most of the cards under the Constitution, states can exert pressure through the Council of Australian Governments. The issue is likely to feature prominently at the next COAG meeting, scheduled for November.
Opposition Leader Peter Dutton seized on the controversy, accusing the Prime Minister of ignoring the states and failing to show leadership on fiscal reform. "Albanese is kicking the can down the road," Dutton said. "The GST is the backbone of state services, and it needs to be fit for purpose for the next decade."
With the 2027 deadline approaching, the debate over GST reform is far from over, even if the Prime Minister has closed the door for now.