Australian chickpea prices surge towards $1,000 per tonne

Global supply chain volatility, poor Indian monsoon and pre-Ramadan demand drive rally

By LineZotpaper
Published
Read Time2 min
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Australian chickpea prices have surged towards $1,000 per tonne in some regions, a sharp rise from around $600 per tonne earlier in the year, driven by global supply chain disruption, below-average monsoon rains in India, and strong demand ahead of Ramadan.

Australian chickpeas are in hot demand, with delivered prices jumping this month towards $1,000 per tonne in some regions. It is a significant increase from earlier in the year, when the market was trading closer to $600 per tonne.

Grains Australia Pulse Council chair Peter Wilson said it was a great result for growers. "We haven't seen $1,000 per tonne since 2024, so it's significant. It's a great price," he said. "For growers who have ended up with a decent [chickpea] crop, this is balance-sheet altering. There's no other way to describe it."

Mr Wilson attributed the price surge to a combination of factors. "There's a lot of volatility globally right now, which is creating enormous turbulence in logistics and supply chains, which is keeping buyers on edge," he said. "We're also seeing the impacts of El Niño, which looks to have left parts of India with lower-than-average rainfall from the monsoon, which has caused their local chickpea prices to rise, which is pushing everything along."

Mr Wilson said several nations were wanting to lock in supply ahead of Ramadan, which starts in early February. "Ramadan creates peak demand for a lot of our pulse crops [like chickpeas], and we see buyers wanting to have product pre-positioned at least one month ahead of Ramadan," he said. "So we're seeing some urgency from buyers trying to get product onboard vessels for key destination markets such as Pakistan, Bangladesh and the UAE, so it's in the market and ready for that Ramadan demand."

In its most recent crop forecast, the Australian Bureau of Agricultural and Resource Economics and Sciences (ABARES) predicted Australian chickpea production would fall by 52 per cent "to just over 1 million tonnes in 2026\u201327" due to significant cuts to area planted and expected lower yields in the major growing regions of northern New South Wales and Queensland. ABC Landline has been told that forecast may be "optimistic" and the overall crop might be even lower, which is another reason for buyer urgency.

Prices are expected to ease as harvest supply increases.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • Australian chickpea growers stand to benefit significantly from the price surge, which can alter farm balance sheets and support rural economies.
  • The rally reflects global food supply fragility, with climate events and geopolitical volatility disrupting trade flows.
  • Higher chickpea prices may flow through to consumers in importing countries, particularly during Ramadan when demand peaks.

Background

Chickpeas are a major Australian pulse crop, primarily grown in northern New South Wales and Queensland. Australia is one of the world's largest chickpea exporters, with key markets in South Asia and the Middle East. Prices have been volatile in recent years, influenced by Indian tariff policy and weather patterns. The current rally echoes a similar spike in 2024 when prices also reached $1,000 per tonne after India suspended tariffs.

Key Perspectives

Australian growers: Those with a decent harvest are enjoying exceptional returns. The price surge is described as "balance-sheet altering" for farmers who managed good yields despite challenging conditions.

International buyers: Pakistani, Bangladeshi and UAE buyers face urgency and higher costs as they try to secure supply before Ramadan. Lower Australian production forecasts add to competition.

Critics/Skeptics: The rally may be short-lived. Prices are expected to ease as harvest supply enters the market. The ABARES production forecast may itself be optimistic, meaning the crop could be even smaller, keeping prices elevated for longer but also limiting volumes available.

What to Watch

  • Harvest progress in northern NSW and Queensland over the coming weeks
  • Updated ABARES production estimates for the 2026-27 season
  • Buyer behaviour as Ramadan approaches and whether pre-positioning accelerates

Sources

Zotpaper

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