Ocean emulator runs on unstructured mesh, beating baselines for currents
The authors present HClimRep-Ocean, a machine-learning emulator that operates directly on the unstructured computational mesh of the FESOM2 ocean model. Trained on a 209-year control simulation, the model forecasts ocean currents more accurately than all reference methods at 30-day lead times, though temperature and salinity predictions are less skilled than a simple damped-anomaly persistence forecast. The authors also demonstrate competitive performance on the OceanBench benchmark against a reanalysis product.