Average five-year fixed mortgage rate hits 6% for first time in three years

Sub-5% deals virtually disappear as global bond market turmoil drives up costs

By LineZotpaper
Published
Updated
Read Time2 min
Sources3 outlets
The average cost of a five-year fixed-rate mortgage in the UK has reached 6% for the first time in three years, according to Moneyfacts, as turmoil in global bond markets pushes up lenders' costs and leaves borrowers with sharply fewer affordable options.

The average five-year fixed mortgage rate has risen to 6.00%, its highest point since September 2023, while the average two-year fixed rate stands at 5.98%, its highest since December of that year. The increases come despite no change in the Bank of England base rate since last December; instead, volatility in bond markets has driven up the swap rates that lenders use to price fixed-rate deals.

Data from Moneyfacts shows that the number of fixed-rate mortgages available below 5% has collapsed from 1,494 at the beginning of last month to just nine today, a 99% drop. Most major banks and building societies have raised rates in recent weeks.

Rachel Springall, a finance expert at Moneyfacts, described the impact on rates as “brutal” and said the rise to three-year highs would be “disastrous news for borrowers” who had hoped for stability. According to the HomeOwners Alliance, the monthly cost of a £250,000 loan fixed at 6% for five years is £158 higher than the same loan at the 4.94% average rate seen at the start of February.

There are already signs that higher mortgage costs are weighing on the housing market. Nationwide building society reported last week that annual house price growth halved in September. Ian Harris, president of the estate agents' body NAEA Propertymark, said members were “seeing first-hand how sensitive buyers are to mortgage rates” and that the rapid disappearance of sub-5% deals would add further pressure on affordability. He noted that even small increases in monthly repayments could force some buyers to reduce their budgets or step back from a purchase altogether, while homeowners coming off fixed-rate deals may face significantly higher costs.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • Borrowers completing existing fixed-rate deals face significantly higher monthly costs, with a £250,000 loan costing £158 more per month than at the start of the year.
  • The rapid disappearance of sub-5% deals reduces options for first-time buyers and those remortgaging, potentially cooling the housing market further.
  • Rising mortgage costs signal that global bond market turmoil is directly affecting UK household finances, even without a base rate change.

Background

The Bank of England base rate has been unchanged since December 2025, but swap rates – which lenders use to price fixed mortgages – have risen sharply due to volatility in global bond markets. This has pushed average fixed rates back to levels last seen in late 2023, reversing the gradual decline that borrowers had been hoping would continue. The number of sub-5% deals has fallen from over a thousand to single digits in just weeks.

Key Perspectives

Borrowers: Face sharply higher costs whether taking out a new mortgage or renewing an existing fixed deal. Many who had budgeted for lower rates may need to reduce spending or reconsider home purchases. Lenders: Have raised rates in response to higher swap costs, passing on market volatility. The rapid adjustment reflects the speed of bond market movements rather than a deliberate tightening of lending criteria. Estate agents: Report that buyers are highly sensitive to rate changes. Even modest increases in monthly repayments can derail purchases, and the vanishing of cheap deals may reduce housing market activity.

What to Watch

  • Any further movement in UK swap rates or bond yields, which would signal whether mortgage costs are likely to rise further.
  • The Bank of England's next monetary policy decision and whether base rate expectations shift in response to bond market conditions.
  • Housing market data from major lenders and estate agents over the coming months for evidence of a sharper slowdown.

Sources

Zotpaper

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