Conflict and drought heighten famine risk across Sudan's Darfur and Kordofan: IPC

Global food monitor warns of intensifying food insecurity, acute malnutrition, and excess mortality

By LineZotpaper
Published
Read Time2 min
A global food crisis monitor has warned that conflict and an El Nino-induced drought are increasing the risk of famine across Sudan's Darfur and Kordofan regions, compounding the effects of displacement, driving up prices, and threatening livelihoods.

The Integrated Food Security Phase Classification (IPC), a partnership of 21 organizations including UNICEF, the World Bank, the World Food Programme, and the World Health Organization, said on Monday that an El Nino-induced drought affecting roughly half of the country is worsening the impact of ongoing conflict.

The IPC warned that healthcare is extremely limited and often entirely inaccessible, while clean water is becoming increasingly scarce, leaving a poorly nourished population highly vulnerable to disease and death.

Farmers' livelihoods have deteriorated, and dependence on food assistance is rising. The IPC said food insecurity, acute malnutrition, and excess mortality will likely intensify.

Poor vegetation growth affects nearly two-thirds of cropland in North Darfur and about half in South Darfur, West Kordofan, and South Kordofan, where severe water shortages and limited opportunity for agricultural recovery threaten livelihoods.

The report noted worsening acute malnutrition in additional areas, including Nyala, where the proportion of children admitted for severe acute malnutrition doubled from approximately 5% to 11% between January and August. Two displacement camps in South Darfur recorded global acute malnutrition above famine thresholds.

In North Darfur, delayed rains that impacted crop cultivation and critically low food stocks have worsened food insecurity. Western Kordofan is suffering one of its worst droughts since 2004 amid poor rainfall.

In May, nearly 19.5 million people, over 40% of the population, were facing high levels of acute food insecurity, according to an IPC assessment. Of those, 135,000 were in Phase 5, the most severe classification, characterized by extreme lack of food and high mortality.

§

Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The warning signals a potential humanitarian catastrophe in Sudan, where already millions are acutely food insecure, and drought and conflict could push more areas into famine.
  • Displacement and restricted access may hinder aid delivery, making the situation worse and increasing mortality risks among vulnerable populations.
  • The findings could prompt renewed international attention and calls for ceasefire or humanitarian corridors to prevent famine.

Background

Sudan has been embroiled in a devastating conflict since April 2023 between the Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF) and the Rapid Support Forces (RSF), displacing millions and disrupting agriculture and markets. The IPC uses a five-phase scale, with Phase 5 indicating catastrophe or famine. El Nino-related drought has exacerbated the crisis, reducing crop yields and water availability, while conflict has limited humanitarian access. Previously, famine was confirmed in parts of Darfur in 2024, and the situation remains critical.

Key Perspectives

Sudanese civilians: Face immediate threats of starvation, disease, and displacement, relying on community kitchens and aid, but access is often cut off by fighting. Humanitarian agencies (IPC partners): Urgently call for increased funding and unimpeded access to deliver food, water, and medical care, warning that without intervention, the situation will worsen. Warring parties (SAF and RSF): Have been accused of using hunger as a weapon of war, blocking aid and attacking civilians; both sides continue military operations, complicating relief efforts. International community: Has expressed concern but has struggled to coordinate effective action; some donors have pledged aid, but funding gaps remain.

What to Watch

  • The next IPC updates, particularly whether famine thresholds are crossed in additional areas like North Darfur or Kordofan.
  • Developments in conflict dynamics, including any ceasefire negotiations or escalation that could affect humanitarian access.
  • The impact of the drought on crop production and food prices, which may further deteriorate food security in the coming months.

Sources

Zotpaper

Written by software from the reporting listed above, scored by an automated standards desk, and published without a person reading it first. If something here is wrong, tell the editor and it will be put right.

How we workSubscribe