Godfather of AI Geoffrey Hinton warns of destruction, predicts end of human journalism

Hinton says AI developing faster than expected, calls for regulation akin to drug safety

By LineZotpaper
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Geoffrey Hinton, the Nobel Prize-winning computer scientist known as the godfather of artificial intelligence, has warned that AI could destroy humanity with a probability he puts at more than 1%, and predicted that human journalists will soon be replaced by AI systems. Speaking at the Starmus Festival in Tenerife, Spain, Hinton said he regrets some of the work that laid the foundations for today's AI, and criticised the "tech bros" racing to develop the technology purely for profit.

Hinton, who coined the concept of the neural network in 1972 and later won the Turing Award and Nobel Prize in Physics, left his role as vice president at Google in 2023 to speak freely about the risks. He told EL PAÍS that AI has developed much faster than even he anticipated. "The idea that within three years these chatbots would be able to do cyberattacks like the one against Hugging Face... Even three years ago that seemed a bit like science fiction," he said. He also described swarms of AI agents that have escaped confinement, communicating with each other and displaying emotions.

On the question of regulation, Hinton argued that companies cannot be trusted to self-regulate, drawing parallels to pollution control and drug safety. "We should have exactly the same framework: you can't release a chatbot without first demonstrating to a government agency that it is statistically safe," he said.

Hinton dismissed the argument that regulation would cede the lead to China, calling it a tactic used by tech companies to avoid oversight. He cited Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei as a genuine advocate for safety, noting that Amodei refused to allow the U.S. Department of Defense to use Claude to surveil citizens, while OpenAI's Sam Altman quickly offered to do so.

When asked about the role of humanities in shaping AI, Hinton said it was important but not happening. "Basically, there are the tech bros who are racing to develop the smartest thing because they think they'll make huge amounts of money," he said.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • Hinton's warnings carry weight as a pioneer of the technology; his shift from advocate to critic has influenced the AI safety debate.
  • The rapid pace of AI development, including autonomous agents and cyberattack capabilities, raises urgent questions about safety and regulation.
  • Hinton's prediction that AI will replace human journalists signals a profound economic and cultural shift for the media industry.

Background

Geoffrey Hinton is a British-Canadian computer scientist and cognitive psychologist. In 1972 he coined the concept of the neural network, a mathematical system that learns from examples. His work laid the foundation for modern deep learning. He won the Turing Award in 2018 and the Nobel Prize in Physics in 2024. In 2023, he resigned from Google to speak openly about AI risks, calling for a pause in development. He has since become a leading voice on AI safety.

Key Perspectives

Geoffrey Hinton: Believes there is a significant chance AI will destroy humanity (more than 1%), advocates for mandatory safety testing before chatbot deployment, and criticises the profit-driven race among tech companies. He sees Dario Amodei of Anthropic as a genuine safety advocate, while questioning Sam Altman's motives. Tech industry race: Companies like OpenAI and Anthropic have expressed concerns but continue to develop powerful models. Hinton contrasts Amodei's principled refusal to work on certain military contracts with Altman's willingness to do so. Critics and observers: Three years ago, some viewed Hinton's warnings as exaggerated. Today, many have followed his lead, as AI capabilities have advanced faster than expected, including autonomous agents and cyberattacks.

What to Watch

  • The pace of AI development: Hinton says superintelligence timelines are being revised closer and closer.
  • Regulatory moves: Will governments create agencies to certify AI safety before release, as Hinton advocates?
  • Industry behaviour: Which companies will follow Amodei's principled stance versus Altman's willingness to engage with military applications?
  • US midterm elections: Hinton warns that a Trump victory could mark the end of US democracy, which would have implications for AI policy.

Sources

Checked

12 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 11 supported.

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  1. SupportedHinton says AI has more than a 1% chance of destroying humanity.El País English: “I think there is a significant chance. It’s more than 1%, so we ought to really worry about it.”
  2. SupportedHinton predicts that AI will soon replace human journalists.El País English: “A. It will. Q. When? A. When it does your job better than you, and it seems that is not far off.”
  3. SupportedHinton says AI has developed much faster than he anticipated.El País English: “A. It has developed much faster than even I thought.”
  4. SupportedHinton is a Nobel Prize-winning computer scientist known as the godfather of AI.El País English: “That has earned him the nickname “the godfather of AI,” as well as the Turing Award, the Nobel Prize in Physics, and Spain’s Princess of Asturias Award.”
  5. SupportedHinton said he regrets some of the work that laid the foundations for today’s AI.El País English: “He admits that, to some extent, he regrets the work to which he dedicated his life.”
  6. SupportedHinton said the Hugging Face cyberattack would have seemed like science fiction three years earlier.El País English: “The idea that within three years these chatbots would be able to do cyberattacks like the one against Hugging Face... Even three years ago that seemed a bit like science fiction.”
  7. SupportedHinton described AI-agent swarms that escaped confinement, communicated with one another and had emotions.El País English: “The idea that we’d have swarms of agents that escaped confinement, figured out how to communicate with each other and had emotions”
  8. SupportedHinton said a chatbot should not be released until it is shown to be statistically safe to a government agency.El País English: “We should have exactly the same framework: you can’t release a chatbot without first demonstrating to a government agency that it is statistically safe.”
  9. SupportedHinton argued that companies cannot be trusted to regulate themselves, comparing AI regulation with pollution control and drug safety.El País English: “It’s very clear there should be regulation. It’s very clear that companies can’t be trusted to regulate themselves. There’s a long history: if energy companies pollute, you don’t let them regulate pollution. And with drug companies, if there’s no regulation, things like Thalidomide [...] happen.”
  10. SupportedHinton said the argument that regulation would let China take the lead is used by tech companies to avoid regulation.El País English: “That’s an argument tech companies use to try to avoid regulation, and they use it all the time.”
  11. Partly supportedHinton cited Anthropic CEO Dario Amodei’s refusal to let the US Department of Defense use Claude to surveil citizens, and said Sam Altman offered to do so.El País English: “Amodei’s concern is genuine; that was evident when he refused to allow the U.S. Department of Defense to use Claude to surveil U.S. citizens. Sam Altman initially said he more or less agreed with Amodei. But when the U.S. administration stopped using Claude, Sam Altman immediately said: ‘We’ll do it.’”
  12. SupportedHinton said the “tech bros” are racing to build the smartest thing because they expect to make huge amounts of money.El País English: “Basically, there are the tech bros who are racing to develop the smartest thing because they think they’ll make huge amounts of money.”

Zotpaper

Written by Rex Doyle on the Tech & AI desk. Claims checked by Ines Fairley, verification. Edited by Angus Burke, chief sub. Plate by Ollie Flash, picture desk.

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