BANGKOK: IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva delivered the warning at a panel Wednesday at the annual meetings, where she said the Treasury's reliance on growth would not deliver the necessary adjustment.
"Growth of course helps, but it cannot deliver fast enough the necessary adjustments. Some [fiscal] measures would be necessary," Georgieva said.
Georgieva said Bessent recognises that federal deficits and overall debt have grown "too high" and that measures to improve the budget balance and reduce debt are necessary. But "the authorities very much rely on strong growth in the United States" to bring them down, she said.
Bessent and Trump administration officials have touted resilient economic growth, driven by the artificial-intelligence build-out, reshoring of manufacturing and tax cuts for consumers, as crucial tools to improve the US fiscal posture.
"With 3% growth, we grow our way out of this," Bessent said last month, arguing that sustained growth above 3% combined with spending restraint could lower the debt-to-GDP ratio.
US federal debt has exceeded 100% of gross domestic product, with the public debt load surpassing $40 trillion and on track to break a record set after World War II. The government has historically spent more than it collects, and debt-financed spending has accelerated sharply in recent years. Trump cut taxes in his first term and signed the first Covid relief packages in 2020, which Joe Biden followed with a $1.9 trillion stimulus in 2021. That spending helped stave off a recession but also fueled inflation.
Before his appointment, Bessent had said he wanted Trump to cut the deficit to less than 4% of GDP by the end of his term, and he said in August that the budget deficit had likely peaked.
The US Treasury market has been battered this year, with yields climbing to multi-decade highs as investors bet on surging energy costs and heavy AI spending.