India acknowledges trade talks with US have hit a plateau

Finance minister's remarks are the first official admission of difficulty in closing a deal with Washington

By LineZotpaper
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India's finance minister has for the first time acknowledged that trade negotiations with the United States have stalled, saying both sides have reached a point beyond which further concessions will be very difficult.

India's Finance Minister Nirmala Sitharaman said trade talks with the US had reached a plateau, adding to growing skepticism around a deal between New Delhi and Washington.

"Negotiations are still ongoing, although we'd like to believe that both sides have reached a plateau beyond which giving or taking might be very very difficult," Sitharaman said, speaking to the press at the Munich Leaders Meeting in New Delhi on Monday.

The comments mark the first time India has acknowledged the challenges it faces in closing the trade deal with the US, and come just after US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer last week said a trade agreement was not "imminent" even as negotiations continued.

Sitharaman said the US wants to "reduce" its trade imbalance with India and make up "for all that they've lost over these years." The US goods trade deficit with India was $58.42 billion in 2025, a 27.8% increase over 2024. In the first seven months of 2026, the figure was $28.4 billion, according to US data.

"When you're talking of trade and trade imbalance being the sole criteria to reduce the imbalance, to what extent beyond negotiation can you go," she said.

Last week, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi reviewed bilateral trade, defense, energy and critical technologies during a call with US President Donald Trump. While Greer called the call "constructive" and Modi called it "productive," Trump did not comment on it.

Trump in February announced an interim trade deal with India, outlining that New Delhi had agreed to "BUY AMERICAN" at a much higher level. India, meanwhile, has been seeking preferential tariffs from the US to make its exports more competitive.

"Both countries stand to lose if no deal is finalized," Mark Linscott, former assistant US trade representative and senior advisor at the US-India Strategic Partnership Forum, told CNBC. "US exports currently face higher tariffs in the Indian market," he said, adding that if India did not strike a deal soon, "it could face much higher tariffs than other countries, and that could be a real problem given that the US market is critical for India."

Indian exports to the US currently face a 10% tariff, following the conclusion of the US Trade Representative's investigation into forced labor practices in 60 countries.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • A stalled deal means Indian exporters, particularly in sectors like generic pharmaceuticals, continue to face the 10% tariff and the risk of higher tariffs than rival countries.
  • The impasse signals limits to the early optimism of the February interim agreement, with both governments having invested political capital in a "productive" relationship.
  • Failure to finalize a deal could deepen the US trade deficit concerns that prompted Washington to push for reductions.

Background

The US and India have been working toward a bilateral trade agreement following an interim arrangement announced in February, under which India committed to buying more American goods while seeking preferential tariff treatment for its exports. The US goods trade deficit with India has been a persistent point of friction, growing by more than a quarter in 2025. Negotiations have covered trade, defense, energy and critical technologies, but the two sides remain far apart on the central issue of tariffs.

Key Perspectives

India: The finance ministry argues that the US demand to close the trade imbalance leaves little room for compromise, and New Delhi continues to seek preferential access for its exports, including pharmaceuticals. United States: Washington wants a significant reduction in the trade deficit and to recover ground it sees as lost over previous years, with Trade Representative Greer signaling no imminent agreement. Mark Linscott, former US trade official: Both sides stand to lose without a deal, and India risks facing higher tariffs than other countries, a serious threat given the importance of the US market.

What to Watch

  • Whether Indian exports, such as generic pharmaceuticals, face an escalation in tariffs beyond the current 10%.
  • Any further public statements from either side, particularly whether President Trump responds to India's acknowledgment of the impasse.
  • The trajectory of the bilateral goods trade deficit through the remainder of 2026 as a gauge of pressure on negotiations.

Sources

Zotpaper

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