Iran announces offensive military doctrine, threatens to invade neighbours if attacked

IRGC warns of preemptive strikes as US orders personnel out of Saudi Arabia and oil prices surge

By LineZotpaper
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Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) has announced a shift to an 'offensive and asymmetrical' defence doctrine, threatening to invade neighbouring countries and strike bases used by the United States if Washington renews attacks. The warning came as the US ordered nonemergency diplomatic personnel to leave Saudi Arabia amid Houthi attacks, oil prices climbed above $110 a barrel, and diplomatic efforts to end the eight-month conflict remained stalled.

The IRGC on Wednesday declared that Iran would no longer limit its military operations to retaliatory strikes. 'Our defence doctrine was previously defensive; we used to say that if a country attacks us, we will respond. Now we say that if a country attacks us, we will both respond and launch an offensive,' said IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebi.

Mohebi claimed Iran's missile stockpile had increased 1.5 times since the 12-day war between Iran and Israel in June 2025, with improved quality, range, destructive power and accuracy. He added that Iranian forces were preparing to unveil the 'father of all bombs', a new weapon for the enemy.

The announcement came amid continued attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, a vital energy chokepoint. The IRGC's navy said on Thursday that four vessels it accused of being involved in illegal oil transfers were struck and caught fire in the northern Gulf, while three other vessels hit mines west of the strait. Oil shipments from the region had returned to pre-war levels last month, although shipments through the strait remained below those levels, but renewed attacks have pushed Brent crude above $110 a barrel.

Analysts said the doctrinal shift reflected Tehran's determination to make future US-Israeli attacks more costly. Negar Mortazavi, senior fellow at the Centre for International Policy, told Al Jazeera that Iran was drawing lessons from the wars of 2025 and 2026, after its previous strategy of retaliation failed to prevent repeated attacks. 'Tehran now wants to establish a new equation: Any future attack on Iran will come at a much higher cost for the aggressors,' she said. She added that Iran was increasingly relying on asymmetric warfare and seeking to impose military, economic and political costs on Washington, potentially influencing the November 3 US midterm elections.

Political analyst Rami Khouri of the Arab Center said the strategy was intended to ensure the consequences of attacks extend to the US, Israel and regional countries supporting them. 'The pain is going to go way beyond just the Middle East and Israel and the US and will hurt people in other parts of the world,' he said.

On the US side, President Donald Trump gave conflicting signals about next steps. 'We are going to have something one way or the other that'll happen fairly soon,' he told reporters. He also said Washington could end the war immediately but wanted a lasting outcome. US Secretary of State Marco Rubio said reaching a peace agreement is extremely difficult and insisted Iran must stop targeting commercial shipping. He also maintained that the US would not support any deal allowing Iran to develop nuclear weapons, while Tehran insists its right to enrichment is guaranteed under the Non-Proliferation Treaty.

The US Department of State ordered nonemergency personnel and family members to leave Saudi Arabia after recent Houthi attacks, though State Department spokesman Tommy Piggott said departure orders for mission personnel across the Gulf had not been issued. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu reiterated his pledge to topple Iran's government, saying it was key to preventing it from rebuilding its nuclear programme and the 'axis of resistance'.

Iran has offered a seven-day plan to restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for Washington ending its blockade of Iranian ports, easing sanctions and unfreezing Iranian assets. Analysts warned that renewed US-Israeli attacks on Iran could be imminent, but the situation remains fluid.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The Strait of Hormuz chokepoint carries about one-fifth of the world's oil and gas; renewed disruptions threaten global energy supplies and could push economies toward recession.
  • A direct Iran-US or Iran-Israel conflict could draw in regional proxies and allies, escalating into a broader Middle Eastern war.
  • The November 3 US midterm elections add a domestic political dimension: Tehran may seek to influence outcomes by raising economic costs for the Trump administration.

Background

The confrontation follows an eight-month conflict that included a 12-day war between Iran and Israel in June 2025. Iran's previous strategy was retaliatory. The new offensive doctrine, announced in October 2026, signals a shift toward preemptive and asymmetric warfare, leveraging missiles, drones and control over the Strait. The US and Israel have reportedly been planning potential attacks on Iran in the coming weeks. Negotiations to end the war remain stalled, with Iran offering a seven-day shipping-restoration plan conditional on the removal of sanctions and asset freezes.

Key Perspectives

Iran (IRGC): Seeks to deter future attacks by threatening to invade neighbouring countries and strike bases used by US forces. Emphasises increased missile capabilities and the coming 'father of all bombs' as asymmetrical responses to superior US conventional power. US and Israel: Demand an end to Iranian attacks on commercial shipping and oppose any nuclear deal that would allow Iran to enrich uranium. Israeli PM Netanyahu has pledged to topple Iran's government, while the US has ordered nonemergency personnel out of Saudi Arabia and signalled that a decision on further military action may come soon. Analysts: View the doctrinal shift as a calculated escalation aimed at imposing economic, political and military costs on Washington and its allies. The strategy may extend the conflict's consequences far beyond the Middle East, affecting energy prices, shipping insurance and global supply chains.

What to Watch

  • Further attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz and the extent to which oil prices respond.
  • The outcome of Israel's elections (Tuesday) and the US midterm elections (November 3), both could alter the political calculus for escalation.
  • Whether Iran follows through on unveiling its 'father of all bombs' and how the US and Israel react to the new doctrine.
  • Any progress or collapse of the seven-day plan offered by Iran to restore shipping in exchange for sanctions relief.

Sources

Checked

12 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 9 supported.

Show each claim
  1. SupportedIran announced an offensive military doctrine and threatened to invade neighbouring countries if attacked.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “The IRGC on Wednesday announced a shift towards an “offensive and asymmetrical” defence doctrine, threatening to invade countries that launch attacks against it.”
  2. Not in the sourcesThe IRGC warned of preemptive strikes.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera
  3. Partly supportedThe US ordered personnel out of Saudi Arabia.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “Meanwhile, the US Department of State on Wednesday ordered nonemergency personnel and their families to leave Saudi Arabia after recent Houthi attacks.”
  4. Partly supportedThe conflict had lasted eight months.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “The warning on Wednesday came amid escalating attacks on shipping in the Strait of Hormuz, a global energy chokepoint, and uncertainty over diplomatic efforts to end the nearly eight-month war.”
  5. SupportedMohebi said Iran would respond to an attack and launch an offensive.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: ““Our defence doctrine was previously defensive; we used to say that if a country attacks us, we will respond. Now we say that if a country attacks us, we will both respond and launch an offensive,” IRGC spokesman Hossein Mohebi said.”
  6. SupportedMohebi said Iran’s missile stockpile had increased 1.5 times since the June 2025 war, and that missile quality, range, destructive power and accuracy had improved.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “Mohebi stressed that Iran’s missile stockpile has increased 1.5 times since the 12-day war between Iran and Israel in June 2025. He did not provide specific figures. “The quality of the missiles has improved significantly, and their range, destructive power and accuracy in hitting targets have increased,” the spokesman said.”
  7. SupportedIranian forces were preparing to unveil the “father of all bombs,” described as something new for the enemy.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “Moreover, Mohebi said Iranian forces were in the “stage of preparing to unveil the ‘father of all bombs’. This is something new for the enemy.””
  8. SupportedThe IRGC’s navy said four vessels accused of illegal oil transfers were struck and caught fire, while three others hit mines.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “The IRGC’s navy said on Thursday that four vessels it accused of being involved in illegal oil transfers were struck and caught fire in the northern Gulf. Three other vessels hit mines west of the strait, it added.”
  9. SupportedRenewed attacks pushed Brent crude above $110 a barrel.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “However, a flurry of recent attacks in the key waterway and the fighting between Yemen’s Houthis and its Saudi-backed, internationally recognised government, which has resulted in Houthi attacks on Saudi Arabia, have once again sent oil prices surging. Brent crude climbed above $110 a barrel on Thursday amid fears of further disruptions to regional energy supplies.”
  10. SupportedMortazavi said future attacks on Iran would come at a much higher cost for aggressors.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: ““Tehran now wants to establish a new equation: Any future attack on Iran will come at a much higher cost for the aggressors,” she told Al Jazeera.”
  11. SupportedTrump said, “We are going to have something one way or the other that'll happen fairly soon.”Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: ““We are going to have something one way or the other that’ll happen fairly soon,” he told reporters.”
  12. SupportedIran offered a seven-day plan to restore Strait of Hormuz shipping in exchange for the US ending its blockade, easing sanctions and unfreezing Iranian assets.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “Iran has offered a seven-day plan to restore shipping through the Strait of Hormuz in exchange for Washington ending its blockade of Iranian ports, easing sanctions and unfreezing Iranian assets.”

Correction

An earlier version of this story said oil shipments through the Strait of Hormuz had returned to pre-war levels last month. Oil shipments from the region had returned to those levels, while shipments through the strait remained below them.

Zotpaper

Written by Rex Doyle on the World desk. Claims checked by Ines Fairley, verification. Read for legal risk by Marcus Hale, legal. Edited by Angus Burke, chief sub.

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