The arrest marks the latest flashpoint in strained Japan-Russia relations, which have been further complicated by a decades-long territorial dispute over a chain of islands seized by Soviet forces after World War II. Known as the Northern Territories in Japan and the Southern Kurils in Russia, the islands remain a central point of contention.
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi has condemned the arrest and dismissed the claim that Imai was a spy. Russian Ambassador to Japan Nikolay Nozdrev, quoted by Russian state news agency TASS, said Imai had been caught "red-handed" and accused Japanese intelligence of using journalists to collect classified information with the goal of "undermining Russia's security and defense capability."
Japanese embassy officials in Moscow have been refused access to Imai. The International Federation of Journalists has called for his immediate release.
Experts suggest the arrest may be part of a broader strategy to pressure Tokyo. Stephen Nagy, a professor of international relations at Tokyo's International Christian University, told DW that Russia may see Imai as a bargaining chip it could use in exchanges for its nationals detained overseas. However, Nagy doubted Japan would yield, saying it would set a "dangerous precedent." Tadashi Anno, a professor of politics at Sophia University, noted that Japan had condemned Russia's invasion of Ukraine in 2022 but had tried to maintain stable ties, making the timing of Russia's pushback "puzzling."
The case echoes the 2023 arrest of Wall Street Journal reporter Evan Gershkovich, who was sentenced to 16 years before being released in a 2024 prisoner exchange. Yoji Gomi, a veteran journalist and author, told DW that Russia's actions reflect its own practice of using journalists for intelligence purposes. He added that he could "completely see" how Russian authorities decided Imai was a spy, given the sensitive region with North Korean laborers.
Bilateral relations have also been affected by Japan joining a NATO initiative to provide non-lethal assistance to Ukraine, as well as a recent visit by Russian President Vladimir Putin to the disputed islands. Earlier this month, a delegation of Chinese businesspeople was welcomed on one of the islands, with talks under way on possible economic cooperation.