Prices outpace wages as cost of living becomes top US midterm issue

Underemployment measure stays at 7.6 percent, with millions in part-time work or holding multiple jobs

By LineZotpaper
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Rising prices are outstripping wage growth across the United States, and with midterm elections approaching, cost of living is now the dominant concern for voters, according to new polls. Workers describe cutbacks ranging from dining out and cable to groceries and needed surgery, even as a broader measure of underemployment remains elevated at 7.6 percent.

Stacy Eichel, an empty nester in Florida, spent years balancing a healthcare marketing job with a side business making custom-branded merchandise for corporate clients. When she lost her job in September 2025 after a merger, the business had to carry more of the load, just as corporate budgets were tightening. "The economy is such that fewer people are buying custom-branded swag because it's more of a luxury item. When they have extra money in the budget, that's what they'll use it for, but now their budgets are very tight," Eichel told Al Jazeera. She has cut back on dining out and takeout and dropped her cable service.

Her experience reflects a broader strain in the US labour market. The Department of Labor's U-6 rate, a broader measure of unemployment and underemployment that includes part-time workers who want full-time jobs and people who have recently stopped looking, stands at 7.6 percent, down from 8.1 percent a year ago. An estimated 4.5 million Americans were working part-time because they could not find full-time work, and nine million people, 5.5 percent of all employed workers, held multiple jobs.

Pay is not keeping up with prices. Average hourly wages rose 3 percent over the past year while consumer prices rose 3.7 percent, according to the latest Consumer Price Index. In the most recent month, prices rose 0.6 percent while hourly wages rose just 0.1 percent.

"Underemployment is one of the most misunderstood economic problems in America because it doesn't always look like unemployment," said Tara Furiani, a workforce strategist based in Richmond, Virginia. "It looks like a college graduate working retail despite having a degree, a former executive accepting a position paying half their previous salary, or a parent working two jobs because neither provides enough hours, benefits or income to support their family."

Joshua Teicher, a New York City video producer in the advertising industry, said work began drying up after the pandemic and has now nearly dried up entirely. He is on Medicaid and struggles to afford prescriptions and food. "I find myself walking a couple of extra blocks to a cheaper store because they have cheaper apples," he said. His tight budget has also prevented him from affording knee surgery on his left knee, leaving one leg slightly longer than the other.

The average price of a gallon of gasoline was $4.29 on Monday, up from $2.98 when the US and Israel first struck Iran in late February, according to the American Automobile Association. Economists describe a "low-hire, low-fire" labour market, with employers pulling back on hiring even as layoffs stay low. "I have seen highly qualified people who have not been able to find a job for 12-18 months," said Babak Hafezi, a professor of international business at American University. Some workers have responded by adding part-time jobs on top of full-time work.

With the midterm elections approaching, cost of living leads voter concerns. A Reuters/Ipsos poll put it at 47 percent, well ahead of "democratic norms and values" at 22 percent. A Washington Post-ABC News-Ipsos poll found voters trust Democrats over Republicans to handle the economy, 40 percent to 33 percent, the first Democratic advantage on the issue in 12 years. A Pew Research Center poll found 44 percent of Americans struggled to pay for at least one basic necessity over the past year, and 20 percent had received food from a food bank or pantry.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • Cost of living is the top issue for US voters heading into the midterms, leading the next closest concern by a double-digit margin in a Reuters/Ipsos poll.
  • Wages are rising more slowly than prices, meaning purchasing power is shrinking for many households even as the headline unemployment rate stays low.
  • Underemployment is widespread: about 4.5 million people want full-time hours and cannot get them, and nine million workers hold multiple jobs.

Background

The US labour market has settled into what economists call a "low-hire, low-fire" pattern. Companies, facing uncertainty over trade policy and tariffs and the growing use of artificial intelligence, are tightening spending and holding back on recruitment. Layoffs remain relatively low, but so does hiring, leaving workers with less leverage to negotiate better pay. Into that picture comes a rise in energy costs: petrol prices climbed to $4.29 a gallon, compared with $2.98 before the US and Israel first struck Iran in late February. With midterm elections approaching, the economy has moved to the centre of the political contest.

Key Perspectives

Workers and households: People like Eichel and Teicher describe visible belt-tightening: cooking instead of ordering in, dropping cable, walking extra blocks for cheaper apples, and going without needed medical care. Teicher's budget cannot stretch to the knee surgery he needs. Economists and workforce analysts: Furiani argues underemployment is a "misunderstood" problem that hides in plain sight, and Hafezi reports highly qualified jobseekers out of work for 12 to 18 months. Both point to workers having less power to improve their positions. Critics and counterpoints: The headline unemployment rate remains low, and the U-6 measure has improved from 8.1 percent a year ago, suggesting the labour market is not uniformly weak. Some industries have continued to add jobs, and the strain is most visible in discretionary sectors, such as branded merchandise and advertising, where corporate budgets have been cut first.

What to Watch

  • Monthly CPI and wage reports, for whether pay growth begins to close the gap with prices.
  • Job openings and turnover data, for signs the "low-hire, low-fire" labour market is loosening or tightening ahead of the midterms.
  • Petrol prices, a highly visible cost, and any further disruption in global energy markets following the strikes on Iran.

Sources

Checked

12 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 9 supported.

Show each claim
  1. Partly supportedNew polls show cost of living is the dominant voter concern, at 47 percent versus 22 percent for democratic norms and values.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “A Reuters/Ipsos poll found that the cost of living was the most important issue for voters, leading the next-closest issue by a double-digit margin, at 47 percent compared with 22 percent for “democratic norms and values””
  2. SupportedPrices are rising faster than wages across the United States.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “Average hourly wages rose 3 percent over the past year, while consumer prices increased 3.7 percent”
  3. SupportedEichel said, “The economy is such that fewer people are buying custom-branded swag because it's more of a luxury item. When they have extra money in the budget, that's what they'll use it for, but now their budgets are very tight.”Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: ““The economy is such that fewer people are buying custom-branded swag because it’s more of a luxury item. When they have extra money in the budget, that’s what they’ll use it for, but now their budgets are very tight,””
  4. SupportedFuriani said underemployment can look like a college graduate working retail or a former executive taking a job at half their previous salary.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: ““Underemployment is one of the most misunderstood economic problems in America because it doesn’t always look like unemployment. It looks like a college graduate working retail despite having a degree, a former executive accepting a position paying half their previous salary”
  5. SupportedTeicher said he walks extra blocks to a cheaper store because it has cheaper apples.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: ““I find myself walking a couple of extra blocks to a cheaper store because they have cheaper apples, those sorts of things,””
  6. SupportedHafezi said he had seen highly qualified people unable to find a job for 12–18 months.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: ““I have seen highly qualified people who have not been able to find a job for 12-18 months,””
  7. Partly supportedThe U-6 rate stays at 7.6 percent.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “It stands at an elevated 7.6 percent. While that’s down from 8.1 percent a year ago”
  8. Partly supportedThe U-6 measure includes people who recently stopped looking for work.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “as well as those who want to work but have stopped looking for a job recently.”
  9. SupportedAn estimated 4.5 million Americans were working part-time because they could not find full-time work.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “An estimated 4.5 million Americans were working part-time because they could not find full-time work.”
  10. SupportedNine million Americans held multiple jobs, representing 5.5 percent of employed workers.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “nine million Americans held multiple jobs, accounting for 5.5 percent of all employed workers”
  11. SupportedHourly wages rose 3 percent over the past year while consumer prices rose 3.7 percent; in the most recent month, prices rose 0.6 percent and wages 0.1 percent.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “Average hourly wages rose 3 percent over the past year, while consumer prices increased 3.7 percent”
  12. SupportedGas averaged $4.29 a gallon on Monday, up from $2.98 when the US and Israel first struck Iran in late February.Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera: “The average price for a gallon of gasoline (3.78 litres) on Monday was $4.29, according to the American Automobile Association (AAA)”

Zotpaper

Written by Rex Doyle on the World desk. Claims checked by Ines Fairley, verification. Edited by Angus Burke, chief sub.

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