For many in Aberdeen, the Jackdaw decision is a direct answer to pressing financial fears. "Jackdaw means we pay our mortgages," said one offshore cleaner returning to the city, capturing a widely held sentiment. "Without oil and gas, what am I supposed to do?" A second offshore worker acknowledged the challenges of the transition. "Short term, the green industry isn't going to replace this. It's a slow process."
The city has fallen far from its boomtown heyday, when it boasted the highest concentration of millionaires in the UK. Disposable income in Aberdeen dropped by nearly 20% between 2013 and 2023, the worst fall of any large UK city. "For sale" and "to let" signs now punctuate streets once dominated by oil company offices. Demolition began this year on the former Marathon Oil base, and BP is planning to divest from its North Sea operations. The number of people aged 20 to 29 fell by 16% between 2010 and 2021. The spectre of former coal mining towns looms large in the minds of residents. "Twenty years ago this street was full. Now it is so quiet," said one woman at a bus stop on Union Street, where vacancy rates hit 20%.
The government defended the decision on national security grounds. Energy Secretary Miatta Fahnbulleh stated that Jackdaw "will support the country's energy security with homegrown gas this winter" and argued it was compatible with the UK's legally binding climate targets.
Critics remain unconvinced. Tessa Khan, executive director of the campaign group Uplift, argued that "Jackdaw will provide around just 2% of our gas demand for roughly 10 years. It has been oversold and won't stop the overall decline in North Sea jobs as it will be largely unmanned and operated remotely." The field is projected to supply only 6% of UK gas output at its peak. The United Nations Environment Programme has warned that global carbon emissions must be cut by nearly a fifth in the next four years to avoid disastrous climate overshoot.
The renewables sector has grown but has failed to offset the decline. About 90% of offshore jobs in the northeast of Scotland remain in oil and gas, supporting roughly 38,000 jobs compared to just 4,200 in renewables. Many offshore workers acknowledge they are likely the last generation in the North Sea. More than 90% of the UK part of the basin has been exploited. Bob Keiller, a former oil and gas CEO now leading a community group revitalising Union Street, described the approval as a pragmatic shift. "For a long time, it's been 'no, nothing, never, never again'," he said. Joni Esson, a property lawyer, noted that confidence is tentatively returning to the housing market, with people exiting negative equity.