Trump announces deal with Putin for Russian diesel supplies to US and global markets

Treasury waives sanctions as Zelenskyy warns that easing pressure will prolong the war

By LineZotpaper
Published
Read Time3 min
Sources4 outlets
US President Donald Trump says he has reached a deal with Russian President Vladimir Putin for Russia to supply diesel to US and global markets, reversing years of US sanctions pressure on Moscow and drawing immediate condemnation from Ukraine. The announcement came as US diesel prices sit near record highs with the November midterm elections looming.

President Donald Trump said on Friday that Russia would immediately supply more than 300,000 metric tonnes of diesel to US and global markets, followed by 500,000 tonnes in November and 1 million tonnes shortly afterwards. In a post on Truth Social, Mr Trump described his discussion with President Putin as "highly successful" and said Moscow would deliver a further 3 million tonnes depending on the condition of Russian refineries, which have been damaged by Ukrainian attacks. CNBC reported the total package at more than 4 million tonnes.

The US Treasury Department issued a general licence on Friday allowing the import of Russian diesel. ABC News reported the licence runs until April 7, while CNBC reported it runs through April 2027. The White House did not immediately respond to questions about who would pay for the fuel, when it would become available, or whether the November shipment would arrive before the November 3 midterm elections. The agreement came about a month after Mr Trump signed a sweeping Russia sanctions law aimed at clamping down on the energy revenues funding Russia's war against Ukraine.

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy condemned the deal. "Gifts to Putin will not bring peace or any benefit to the civilised world," he said on social media. "Russia will repay the diesel with further terror and perfidy. Allowing Russia to sell petroleum products is an investment in a war that must be ended, not prolonged."

Diesel prices are up 70 per cent since the US and Israel launched war with Iran on February 28. Combined with Ukraine's strikes on Russian refineries and attacks on Middle East refining capacity, the conflicts have triggered a severe global fuel supply crunch. Average US diesel prices reached $US6.28 a gallon ($2.37 a litre) on Thursday, according to the AAA motorist group. Mr Trump has already pressed allies to release emergency reserves and expanded access to tax-exempt red-dyed diesel for truckers.

Energy analysts questioned whether the deal would meaningfully lower prices. "I cannot overstate how much of a nothing burger this is," said Rory Johnston, an oil market researcher and founder of CommodityContext.com, noting that Russia usually exported far more diesel when its refineries were not under attack. The immediate 300,000 tonnes equals about 2.25 million barrels, compared with US diesel exports of roughly 1.5 million barrels per day. "It's clearly not a fix, but another stream to aid a very tight diesel market," said Jim Mitchell, an analyst at Wood Mackenzie. US diesel futures fell sharply on the news, trading down more than 4.8 per cent at $US4.64 a gallon.

§

Analysis

Why This Matters

  • US diesel prices are near record highs and have climbed 70 per cent since the Iran war began in February, feeding into inflation and raising costs for farmers, ranchers and truckers.
  • The deal reverses years of US policy pressuring Russia over its war in Ukraine and tests whether Mr Trump can deliver price relief before the November 3 midterm elections.
  • It hands Moscow a renewed energy revenue stream while the war continues, a shift with major diplomatic consequences for the US, Ukraine and Europe.

Background

This deal marks a sharp reversal of the stance Mr Trump took last month, when he signed a sweeping Russia sanctions law aimed at restricting the energy revenues funding Moscow's war effort. The supply crunch behind high diesel prices is the result of two overlapping conflicts: Ukrainian attacks have pounded Russian refineries and forced Russia to ban diesel exports, while Iran and its Houthi allies have struck refining capacity in the Middle East. The US had already tried other measures to ease prices, including releasing emergency reserves and allowing truckers to use tax-exempt offroad diesel, with limited effect.

Key Perspectives

The White House: Mr Trump frames the agreement as a diplomatic win that will lower prices for American farmers, ranchers and truckers, describing his call with President Putin as "highly successful". Ukraine: President Zelenskyy says easing sanctions without any commitment from Russia to de-escalate will prolong the war, warning that "gifts to Putin" will be repaid with "further terror and perfidy". Market analysts: Skeptics argue the volumes are small relative to normal Russian exports and US consumption, calling the deal "not a fix" and, in one estimate, "a nothing burger". They also note open questions, including who pays for the fuel, when it will arrive, and whether it can land before the midterms. Critics: The White House has not clarified whether the November 500,000-tonne shipment will reach the market before the November 3 elections, and the discrepancy between the reported licence expiry dates (April 7 versus April 2027) has yet to be resolved.

What to Watch

  • Whether the promised 500,000 tonnes arrives in November and, critically, whether it lands before the November 3 midterm elections.
  • Diesel futures and pump prices: futures fell more than 4.8 per cent on the announcement, but analysts expect no sustained relief without a recovery in global refining capacity.
  • The condition of Russian refineries: further Ukrainian strikes could derail later tranches of the deal, which are explicitly conditional on refinery output.
  • Clarity on the Treasury licence, including its actual expiry date and whether it will be extended or expanded.

Sources

Zotpaper

Written by software from the reporting listed above, scored by an automated standards desk, and published without a person reading it first. If something here is wrong, tell the editor and it will be put right.

How we workSubscribe