Trump decries communism while expanding state ownership of economy, analysis shows

V-Dem index reveals US jumped from second least state-controlled to 16th in first year of second term

By LineZotpaper
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An analysis of data from the V-Dem project and government policy actions reveals that Donald Trump's administration has significantly expanded state ownership of the US economy through equity stakes in critical industries, even as the former president campaigns against communism. According to the V-Dem index of state control over the economy, the United States dropped from being the second-least state-controlled economy in 2024 to 16th place in 2025, the first year of Trump's second term.

In campaign ads for the upcoming midterm elections, Donald Trump promises to "defeat communism," a message that Republicans hope will rally voters against the left. However, data crunched by Sweden's V-Dem project suggests that under Trump, the US is moving in the opposite direction: toward greater state ownership of productive resources.

As noted by Cullen Hendrix of the Peterson Institute for International Economics, the US had ranked among the four countries with the least state control from 2002 to 2024. That changed dramatically in 2025.

By November of last year, the Trump administration had spent more than $10bn taking stakes in companies deemed essential for national security, including Intel, ventures mining for critical minerals, and an option to take a stake in nuclear reactor maker Westinghouse. It also secured a "golden share" in US Steel as part of approving Nippon Steel's purchase of the company.

The article, written by Eduardo Porter and published by The Guardian, notes that while the US is nowhere near the levels of state ownership seen in 20th-century communist states, the shift represents a notable departure from recent American policy. By V-Dem's accounting, Washington's stake in the economy is still smaller than in 163 countries, but the trajectory is clear.

Supporters of the policy argue that government equity stakes in strategic industries are a reasonable response to competition from China, where private companies contribute 60% of GDP but the state maintains heavy influence. Government-owned or part-owned enterprises are common in many market economies, with Norway ranking 18th on the index due to its majority stake in its oil company.

Critics, however, see irony in a Republican administration expanding state control while denouncing socialism. The article points out that the grab for productive resources is being driven not by the left but by Trump himself, who has never read Lenin.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The shift toward state ownership under a Republican administration could reshape American economic policy and challenge free-market ideological commitments.
  • The US's increased state involvement in strategic industries may heighten trade tensions and complicate relations with allies and competitors.
  • The contradiction between anti-communist rhetoric and actual policy could become a campaign issue in the midterm elections.

Background

For decades, the United States has prided itself on having one of the most market-driven economies in the world, with minimal direct government ownership of companies. The Trump administration's second term has broken with that tradition, citing national security concerns and the need to compete with China's state-backed enterprises. The V-Dem project, based at the University of Gothenburg, tracks democratic erosion and economic governance worldwide, and its index of state ownership of the economy provides a comparative measure of how much control governments exert over productive resources.

Key Perspectives

[National security advocates]: The investments are necessary to secure supply chains for critical minerals, semiconductors, and nuclear technology, ensuring the US can compete with China without relying on private capital that may not act in the national interest. [Free-market critics]: The expansion of state ownership represents a dangerous precedent, undermining the principles of capitalism and potentially crowding out private investment. It also gives the administration political leverage over companies. [Political opponents]: The hypocrisy of campaigning against communism while adopting socialist-style interventions damages the credibility of Republican economic messaging. They argue the policy benefits Trump's allies and cronies.

What to Watch

  • Whether the Trump administration pursues further equity stakes in other industries, such as energy or pharmaceuticals.
  • How the midterm elections affect the political viability of continued state ownership policies.
  • Legal challenges or congressional oversight efforts that may constrain the administration's ability to acquire stakes in private companies.

Sources

Zotpaper

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