Trump political groups spend nearly $277 million on midterms, outspending any previous president

MAGA Inc. has transferred $225 million to allied super PACs and still has $164 million in cash on hand

By LineZotpaper
Published
Read Time3 min
President Donald Trump’s political groups have spent more than one-quarter of a billion dollars to bolster Republicans in the final stretch of this year’s midterm elections, an unprecedented amount for a sitting president that underscores the stakes on Nov. 3. Trump's flagship super PAC, MAGA Inc., has reported spending nearly $277 million since the beginning of September, according to new federal campaign finance filings.

The spending includes major transfers to two affiliated groups that have been placing millions of dollars in advertising: $200 million to No Going Back PAC Inc. and $25 million to Safety & Affordability PAC Inc. Trump-affiliated groups have so far spent more than $256 million on advertising, according to AdImpact, which tracks media spending and reservations.

“It’s more than any president has ever spent, by far, on the midterms,” said Corry Bliss, a GOP Senate and House campaign strategist who was the executive director of the Congressional Leadership Fund, House Republicans’ super PAC in the 2018 campaign.

Trump had been under intense pressure to help Republican candidates as his party struggles to hold onto its slim majorities in the House and Senate. While the party in power almost always loses seats in midterm elections, Republicans face an especially challenging climb after Trump helped defeat several of the party’s longtime incumbents and as he has been mired in low approval ratings amid deep voter frustration over persistently high costs and the unpopular war with Iran.

One bright spot for Republicans has been their huge financial advantage over Democrats this election cycle, aided by billionaires such as Elon Musk. Musk has invested heavily in Texas, leading Democratic Senate candidate James Talarico to accuse him of trying to buy the seat in his race against incumbent Ken Paxton.

MAGA Inc. had more than $164 million cash left in the bank as of Oct. 14, meaning it still has plenty left to spend. But the Trump team’s decision to wait until late in the cycle to begin advertising has diluted their spending power. The groups are paying far higher ad rates because of the shrinking availability of air time, sometimes more than five times what they would have spent if they had acted sooner.

In a post on his social media site Tuesday, Trump said that he planned to spend “over 400 Million Dollars by Election Day,” including $300 million he said had already been spent on advertising, voter contact, rallies, tele-rallies, get-out-the-vote programs and efforts to prevent voters from cheating.

MAGA Inc. began September with nearly $416 million in the bank. It has continued to raise huge sums of cash from billionaire backers including businessperson Diane Hendricks, Blackstone Group CEO Stephen A. Schwarzman and casino magnate Steve Wynn.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The unprecedented spending by a sitting president on midterms signals how high the stakes are for Trump and his party, which holds slim majorities in both chambers.
  • The late advertising strategy, while still massive, has driven up costs significantly, reducing the efficiency of each dollar spent.
  • The financial advantage Republicans hold this cycle is a key factor in races that could determine control of Congress, particularly in Texas where the Senate race is drawing national attention.

Background

Midterm elections typically produce losses for the party holding the White House. Trump is seeking to defy that historical trend amid low approval ratings and voter frustration over economic pressures and the war with Iran. His political operation has raised enormous sums from billionaire donors, building a war chest that allows him to outspend predecessors. The decision to deploy that money late in the cycle, while maintaining a large cash reserve, reflects a bet that a final barrage of ads will be more effective than an extended campaign.

Key Perspectives

Trump and Republicans: The massive spending is necessary to counter headwinds and keep control of Congress. Trump’s operation argues that the late advertising push will maximize impact when voters are paying closest attention. Democrats: They face a severe financial disadvantage, with outside billionaires like Elon Musk pouring money into key races. Talarico has publicly accused Musk of trying to buy the Texas Senate seat. Campaign strategists and skeptics: The late start on advertising has inflated costs, meaning the spending is less efficient than it could have been. Some question whether the huge sums will translate into votes, especially given Trump’s polarizing image.

What to Watch

  • Whether the spending gap closes in the final two weeks, or if Democrats receive late billionaire donations of their own.
  • The outcome of the Texas Senate race between Ken Paxton and James Talarico, a high-profile test of Republican spending power.
  • Nov. 3 election results and whether Trump’s record-breaking investment produces the desired majorities.

Sources

Checked

9 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 6 supported.

Show each claim
  1. SupportedTrump political groups spent nearly $277 million on the midterms.Fortune | FORTUNE: “In total, Trump’s flagship super PAC, MAGA Inc., has reported spending nearly $277 million since the beginning of September, according to new federal campaign finance filings.”
  2. Partly supportedTrump’s spending outpaces that of any previous president.Fortune | FORTUNE: ““It’s more than any president has ever spent, by far, on the midterms,” said Corry Bliss”
  3. SupportedMAGA Inc. transferred $225 million to allied super PACs.Fortune | FORTUNE: “That includes major transfers to two affiliated groups that have been spending millions on advertising: $200 million to No Going Back PAC Inc. and $25 million to Safety & Affordability PAC Inc.”
  4. Partly supportedMAGA Inc. had $164 million in cash on hand.Fortune | FORTUNE: “MAGA Inc. had more than $164 million cash left in the bank as of Oct. 14”
  5. Partly supportedTrump-affiliated groups had spent more than $256 million on advertising.Fortune | FORTUNE: “So far, the three that have to report their donors have spent more than $256 million on advertising, according to AdImpact, which tracks media spending and reservations.”
  6. SupportedTrump’s groups spent more than a quarter-billion dollars to bolster Republicans in the final stretch of the midterms, an unprecedented amount for a sitting president.Fortune | FORTUNE: “President Donald Trump’s political groups have spent more than one-quarter of a billion dollars to bolster Republicans in the final stretch of this year’s midterm elections, an unprecedented amount for a sitting president”
  7. SupportedCorry Bliss said, “It’s more than any president has ever spent, by far, on the midterms.”Fortune | FORTUNE: ““It’s more than any president has ever spent, by far, on the midterms,” said Corry Bliss”
  8. SupportedTrump said he planned to spend “over 400 Million Dollars by Election Day,” including $300 million he said had already been spent.Fortune | FORTUNE: “In a post on his social media site Tuesday, Trump said that he planned to spend “over 400 Million Dollars by Election Day,” including $300 million he said had already been spent on advertising, voter contact, rallies, tele-rallies, get-out-the-vote programs and efforts to prevent voters from cheating.”
  9. SupportedMusk invested heavily in Texas, leading Talarico to accuse him of trying to buy the seat.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Musk has also invested heavily in Texas, leading Talarico to accuse him of trying to buy the seat.”

Zotpaper

Written by Rex Doyle on the World desk. Claims checked by Ines Fairley, verification. Edited by Angus Burke, chief sub.

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