Trump's approval rating hits new low among Hispanic voters ahead of US midterms

Reuters-Ipsos poll finds overall approval at 32%; Hispanic support falls to 24%

By LineZotpaper
Published
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A new Reuters-Ipsos poll shows President Donald Trump's approval rating stuck at a record low of 32 percent, with support among Hispanic voters dropping to 24 percent — its lowest point of his presidency — as the November midterm elections approach.

The six-day survey, completed on Monday, found that just 32 percent of US voters approve of the job Trump is doing, a rate that has held steady since September. Among Hispanic voters, approval fell to 24 percent, erasing gains Trump made in the 2024 election.

According to the Pew Research Center, Trump and Democratic opponent Kamala Harris were within three percentage points among Hispanic voters in 2024, with Trump earning 48 percent — a significant jump from 36 percent in 2020. That boost was credited with helping Trump win the White House. The new poll indicates those gains have largely evaporated.

About 52 percent of Hispanic voters now say they plan to vote for Democrats in the midterms, compared to 26 percent for Republicans. The midterms are widely seen as a referendum on Trump's second term and will determine whether Republicans retain control of the House and Senate.

Democrats have seized on the low approval ratings, hoping to translate voter frustration into momentum. Trump has also faced dissent from within his party. Representative Maria Elvira Salazar of Florida, a Republican incumbent, released a campaign ad addressing Trump directly, saying: "The same Hispanics who helped you get to the White House in 2024 feel betrayed today." She cited Trump's hardline immigration crackdown as a source of tension.

The poll underscores the challenge Republicans face in keeping their majorities with Hispanic voters — a key constituency — shifting away from the president.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The midterm elections will decide whether Republicans keep majorities in the House and Senate, directly affecting Trump's ability to advance his legislative agenda.
  • A Democratic-controlled Congress would impose significant constraints on Trump's remaining term, blocking judicial appointments, budget priorities and policy bills.
  • Hispanic voters are a critical and growing electoral bloc; a sustained loss of support could reshape Republican coalition strategy.

Background

Trump made notable inroads with Hispanic voters in the 2024 election, earning an estimated 48 percent of the Hispanic vote — a sharp increase from 36 percent in 2020. That improvement helped him defeat Kamala Harris and return to the White House. The new poll suggests those gains have reversed, with approval among Hispanic voters dropping to 24 percent, its lowest point in his presidency.

Key Perspectives

Democrats: They see the slipping approval as a strategic opportunity to flip House and Senate seats, arguing that voters — especially Hispanic voters — are turning against Trump's policies. Republicans: Some incumbents, like Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar, are publicly warning that hardline immigration enforcement is alienating a constituency that helped deliver Trump's 2024 victory. Hispanic voters: The poll indicates a decisive shift toward Democrats, with 52 percent planning to vote Democratic compared to 26 percent Republican, reflecting discontent with Trump's record.

What to Watch

  • The final weeks of midterm campaigning: whether Trump's approval numbers improve or stay low.
  • Election results on November 3 — especially in districts with large Hispanic populations, such as Florida and the Southwest.
  • Internal Republican response: more defections like Salazar's could signal a broader party fracture.

Sources

Zotpaper

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