US-led Venezuela faces Chinese AI surveillance expansion, ASPI warns

Think tank urges Secretary of State Marco Rubio to dismantle surveillance apparatus inherited from Maduro era

By LineZotpaper
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The Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI) has warned that Venezuela—now effectively under US control since January 2026—is poised to adopt Chinese AI systems to enhance its already extensive surveillance state, and is calling on US Secretary of State Marco Rubio to intervene before the technology is fully deployed.

A new report from the Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI), titled Warning signals: Venezuela and the risk of Chinese AI-enabled digital authoritarianism, details how Venezuela's government built a surveillance state a decade ago using technology from Chinese companies. According to the report, in 2025 then-Vice-President Delcy Rodríguez led an effort that resulted in an agreement to adopt Chinese-built AI systems to enhance existing state-sponsored surveillance.

One of the companies involved is iFlytek, which the United States banned in 2019 for its role in helping Beijing repress the Uyghur Muslim population of China's Xinjiang region. After the USA effectively took over Venezuela in January 2026 and installed Rodríguez as the nation's leader, ASPI finds no evidence she has changed course on adopting more Chinese surveillance technology.

“Venezuela will become one of the first countries outside China to import China’s new generation of LLM-based AI systems for surveillance and control, and the most advanced adopter in the Western Hemisphere,” the report claims.

While ASPI analysts do not believe Venezuela can recreate China's full-stack surveillance apparatus, they worry that “Chinese or other AI tools could strengthen a domestically directed apparatus already used to manage dissent, restrict information and preserve political power.” This, they argue, leaves Venezuelans no better off than before the US replaced former President Nicolás Maduro, and leaves the USA effectively running a nation that relies on Chinese surveillance tech to maintain power, even as Washington seeks a greater role in Venezuelan affairs.

ASPI called on Secretary of State Marco Rubio—who effectively acts as viceroy of Venezuela—to dismantle the surveillance apparatus and enact political change. The think tank believes doing so would signal that democracies are willing to combat China's efforts to export its surveillance technology.

“Beijing for its part recognizes this opening, and the risk it poses to Chinese companies and China’s political influence there,” the report states, noting that China's leaders appear to understand that assets and investments of its national champions are at risk in Venezuela. Beijing's approach, according to ASPI, is partly to strengthen oversight of state-owned assets abroad.

The report does not address whether greater adoption of Chinese surveillance by Venezuela increases the risks the USA faces as it seeks to control the South American country.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The US, now effectively running Venezuela, is exposed to Chinese AI surveillance tech it banned at home, creating a contradiction in its own policy.
  • If deployed, the AI systems could entrench authoritarian controls even after a regime-change operation, undermining the stated goal of restoring democracy.
  • The situation tests whether the US will act against Chinese tech influence when it conflicts with its own strategic interests.

Background

Venezuela built a surveillance state over the past decade, largely using technology from Chinese companies like Huawei and ZTE. In 2025, under then-Vice-President Delcy Rodríguez, the government moved to integrate Chinese AI systems—including from iFlytek, a company sanctioned by the US for human rights abuses in Xinjiang. After the US takeover in January 2026, Rodríguez stayed in power, and the surveillance partnership appears to have continued. The US also has a broader strategic interest in countering China's export of surveillance technology globally, but now finds itself overseeing a state that is a prime customer.

Key Perspectives

Australian Strategic Policy Institute (ASPI): Sees an urgent need for Secretary Rubio to dismantle the surveillance apparatus and end the partnership with Chinese AI firms, arguing this is a test of democratic resolve against digital authoritarianism. The US Administration (implicit): Currently running Venezuela while tolerating—or being unable or unwilling to stop—the adoption of Chinese AI surveillance tech, creating a policy contradiction. Chinese Government & Firms: Have an existing commercial relationship with Venezuela and are likely to protect their investments and assets there, according to ASPI. Beijing appears to be tightening oversight of state-owned assets abroad to manage risk. Critics/Skeptics: Some may argue that ASPI's report does not consider the risks to US national security from having Chinese surveillance systems in a country under US control, or the difficulty of dismantling a system already deeply embedded.

What to Watch

  • Whether Secretary Rubio or other US officials publicly respond to ASPI's call to action.
  • Any signs that Venezuela's government is moving to implement or deploy the AI systems agreed to in 2025.
  • Potential US executive orders or sanctions targeting Chinese tech firms operating in Venezuela.
  • Reactions from Beijing, especially regarding protection of Chinese state-owned assets in Venezuela.

Sources

Zotpaper

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