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Benchmark Ecological Validity

Investigates how well benchmarks reflect real-world LLM usage and how to design evaluation tasks that match actual deployment contexts.

6 papers

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  1. Oct 2026 · Leibniz University of Hanover, TIB – Leibniz Information Centre for Science and Technology and University Library

    In-distribution accuracy does not predict abstract reasoning transfer in small models

    Shows that in-distribution accuracy on abstract reasoning tasks does not predict transfer performance, highlighting a disconnect between benchmark scores and real generalization.

  2. 1 further paper

    Oct 2026

    Clinical AI benchmarks poorly reflect how clinicians actually use language models

    Shows public clinical benchmarks mismatched with eight months of real clinician queries, motivating benchmark redesign.

  3. 1 further paper

    Oct 2026 · University of Chicago, Microsoft

    LLM creativity is best measured by performance on rare, long-tail outputs

    Argues that creativity benchmarks are best understood as measuring long-tail performance, contributing to the design of evaluation tasks that reflect real-world creative output.

  4. Oct 2026 · Columbia University

    LLM evaluation works best when treated as a forecasting problem.

    Demonstrates that web text non-stationarity invalidates i.i.d. evaluation and proposes treating accuracy as a time series for forecasting.

4 of 6 papers shown