person

Ningrong Liu

Fortune analyst

Geopolitics · Fortune analyst argues 2027 Taiwan strait war Timeline is a mirage

A prominent argument against the widely predicted 2027 Chinese invasion of Taiwan has been published by Fortune, with analyst Ningrong Liu contending the countdown to conflict is a mirage. The analysis draws on the civilian development boom in the Chinese province of Fujian, the economic deterrent of Taiwan's semiconductor industry, and a US policy shift under President Donald Trump to argue that Beijing is playing a patient game of integration rather than preparing for imminent war.