A new ABC analysis of Therapeutic Goods Administration data found 40 medicines recently in critical shortage, with more than half having had a recorded shortage before. Bicillin L-A and Creon were among the medicines with six shortages recorded each. University of Queensland researcher Peter Coomber said Australia's medicine supply chain was lacking resilience and vulnerable to disruption.
The analysis, which tracked shortages dating back to 2015, identified 40 medications recently in critical shortage. Thirteen of these have been in critical shortage multiple times. The current shortages for Bicillin L-A and Creon are the longest recorded for those drugs. Other frequently short drugs include a nuclear medicine used to assess blood flow, an injection for high blood pressure in pregnancy, the only Q fever vaccine (which Australia will run out of this week), the EllaOne morning-after pill, and Lyclear scabies cream.
Australia imports about 90 per cent of its medicines but makes up about 2 per cent of the global pharmaceutical market. University of Queensland supply chain researcher Peter Coomber said Australia was an unattractive market based purely on market size. He said the reasons behind recent critical shortages included manufacturing problems, raw material supply issues, and increased global demand. Coomber said repeated shortages were a “big problem” and that Australia's supply chain was “lacking resilience and vulnerable to disruption”. He called on all jurisdictions to commit to a national List of Essential Medicines, as the World Health Organization and many other countries have.
University of Adelaide lecturer Jack Janetzki said that while authorities could manage shortages, repeated critical shortages needed close attention and could indicate that a medicine or its supply chain remained vulnerable over time. He said researchers did not fully understand the costs of shortages to individual patients, which could include time spent finding medication and higher expenses. Royal Australasian College of Physicians spokesperson and addiction medicine professor John Saunders said repeated medicine shortages, including medium-impact ones, caused great frustration among doctors. “Switching medications when this isn't part of a plan … is a very difficult thing for [patients] to experience,” he said.
Medicines Australia CEO Liz de Somer said shortages could occur due to "unforeseen supply chain disruption" and "underinvestment by the government in the PBS". Generic and Biosimilar Medicines Association CEO Nikki Lorenz said supply resilience is "not free". The TGA acknowledged the impact of repeated shortages but said each shortage was unique and dynamic. It said it worked with companies and state health departments to resolve them, but it cannot compel pharmaceutical companies to supply medicines.
The analysis found that more than 420 shortages were recorded between late September and early October, with critical ones making up the smallest share. The TGA said a previous shortage does not necessarily determine the nature or impact of a future one. It said government initiatives aimed to support local manufacturing and reduce supply disruptions, and that it was investigating and developing reforms.
Analysis
Why This Matters
- Repeated critical shortages of essential medicines threaten patient care, causing treatment delays or the use of inferior alternatives.
- Australia's import dependence and small market share leave the country exposed to global supply disruptions and manufacturing issues.
- The debate over a national essential medicines list reflects growing concern about supply chain resilience.
Background
The analysis is based on TGA data on medicine shortages. A shortage is defined as when supply is not expected to meet demand within six months. Mandatory reporting of shortages began in 2019, when "critical" ratings were introduced. The ABC tracked shortages back to 2015, identifying patterns of recurrence. The data covers specific doses and formulations; some medications with multiple shortages may relate to different doses.
Key Perspectives
Professor John Saunders (Royal Australasian College of Physicians): said repeated shortages cause great frustration among doctors and that switching medications is difficult for patients.
Jack Janetzki (University of Adelaide): said while shortage management works, repeated shortages indicate a vulnerable supply chain.
Peter Coomber (University of Queensland): called repeated shortages a "big problem" and urged adoption of a national essential medicines list and increased local manufacturing.
Liz de Somer (Medicines Australia): attributed shortages to supply disruptions and government underinvestment in the PBS.
Nikki Lorenz (Generic and Biosimilar Medicines Association): said supply resilience costs money.
TGA: acknowledged the impact but said each shortage is unique and it cannot compel companies to supply.
What to Watch
- Whether the Australian government adopts a national essential medicines list as recommended by researchers.
- The effect of global geopolitical and environmental instability on medicine supply chains.
- Potential regulatory reforms from the TGA to strengthen mandatory reporting and local manufacturing.
Checked
12 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 10 supported.
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- Partly supportedThe analysis found life-saving medicines in repeated critical shortage.Just In: “It's a long-lasting penicillin and a life-saver for many Australians with syphilis or rheumatic heart disease.”
- SupportedMore than half of the 40 medicines in critical shortage had a recorded shortage before.Just In: “These are only two of the 40 medications recently in critical shortage. Our analysis revealed more than half of them have had at least one recorded shortage before.”
- SupportedCoomber called for a national List of Essential Medicines.Just In: “Mr Coomber said all Australian jurisdictions should commit to a national List of Essential Medicines”
- SupportedThe analysis identified 40 medicines recently in critical shortage.Just In: “These are only two of the 40 medications recently in critical shortage.”
- SupportedThirteen of the medicines had been in critical shortage multiple times.Just In: “And 13 medications, or about a third, have been in critical shortage multiple times.”
- SupportedBicillin L-A and Creon each had six shortages recorded.Just In: “Bicillin and Creon are among the medicines that have the most shortages recorded, with six each.”
- Partly supportedThe current shortages for Bicillin L-A and Creon are the longest recorded for those drugs.Just In: “The current shortage is the longest recorded for this drug”
- SupportedQ fever has only one available vaccine.Just In: “The list also includes the only vaccine available for Q fever”
- SupportedAustralia will run out of the Q fever vaccine this week.Just In: “Australia is due to run out of the vaccine this week.”
- SupportedAustralia imports about 90 per cent of its medicines and makes up about 2 per cent of the global pharmaceutical market.Just In: “Australia imports 90 per cent of medicines, but makes up only about 2 per cent of the global pharmaceutical market.”
- SupportedCoomber said Australia's supply chain was “lacking resilience and vulnerable to disruption”.Just In: “He said Australia's medicine supply chain was "lacking resilience and vulnerable to disruption".”
- SupportedSaunders said, “Switching medications when this isn't part of a plan … is a very difficult thing for [patients] to experience.”Just In: “"Switching medications when this isn't part of a plan … is a very difficult thing for [patients] to experience."”