AI stock selloff drags global markets lower as oil hits five-month high

S&P 500 posts worst day since July as Nvidia, Meta and Lam Research lead declines; Brent crude jumps 4%

By LineZotpaper
Published
Read Time3 min
Global stock markets fell sharply on Thursday as a selloff in AI-related stocks overwhelmed gains elsewhere on Wall Street, while oil prices jumped to their highest level in five months on worries about the war with Iran.

The S&P 500 fell 1.2%, its worst day since July, while the Nasdaq composite tumbled 2.6%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 11 points, or less than 0.1%. The decline was so concentrated in tech that two out of every three stocks in the S&P 500 actually rose.

AI-related stocks have been swinging on worries that their boom may be under threat because of how expensive it has become to borrow money to build datacenters and buy AI chips. Concerns also remain that prices shot too high after a years-long frenzy, even though companies in the industry continue to report growth.

Lam Research, whose equipment and services help make semiconductors, reported summer profit and revenue slightly stronger than analysts expected, yet its shares tumbled 11.8%. Meta Platforms lost 7% after reporting stronger revenue than expected but a profit that fell short; the company behind Facebook and Instagram also said it was creating a new class of stock to raise money for AI investments and other expenses. Tesla fell 3.1% after reporting stronger profit but weaker revenue than forecast. Nvidia fell 4.4%, and because it is the largest company on Wall Street by total value, its move was the single strongest force pulling the S&P 500 lower. CoreWeave, which has borrowed money to buy Nvidia's AI chips and rents them out over the cloud, dropped 10.1% after recent weeks of shakiness over worries about its debt.

The weakness began in Asia, where indexes are full of industry players. South Korea's Kospi tumbled 3.5%, Hong Kong's Hang Seng dropped 3% and Japan's Nikkei 225 sank 2.7%. In Europe, France's CAC 40 fell 1.4%, one of the continent's sharpest losses, hurt by another jump in yields on French government bonds over worries about the government's debt load and strained budget. Violent protests across France have raised pressure for more spending, which could add to that debt.

Oil added to the pressure. Brent crude leaped 4% to $113.17 a barrel after touching its highest level in five months, up from less than $97 at the start of the month, as uncertainty continues over when the war with Iran will allow the global energy industry to return to normal.

US bond yields, which had recently climbed to multi-decade highs, fell sharply on Thursday as investors bought government bonds in search of safety. The yield on the 10-year Treasury dropped to 4.97% from 5.13% late Wednesday. The move came even as a report showed fewer US workers applied for unemployment benefits last week, a signal that layoffs remain low.

Strong profit reports from companies outside tech helped limit the damage. Procter & Gamble, Lockheed Martin and CSX were among those topping expectations, and P&G rose 5.6%. CEO Shailesh Jejurikar said the company expected "geopolitical and economic challenges" to continue but stood by its full-year forecasts for growth in revenue, profit and other measures.

All told, the S&P 500 fell 93.74 points to 7,663.43, the Dow added 11.89 to 52,867.98 and the Nasdaq tumbled 694.00 to 26,008.86.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The AI trade that propelled US stocks to a record high earlier this month is now the main source of volatility, and its swings are moving markets across Asia, Europe and the US.
  • Investors are questioning whether AI companies' growth justifies valuations inflated by a years-long frenzy, especially as borrowing costs for datacenters and chip purchases rise.
  • Oil at a five-month high adds another layer of cost and inflation pressure to the global economy at a time when investors are already nervous about government debt levels.

Background

The stock market has been caught between two forces for months. On one side, a strong US economy and better-than-expected company profits have supported share prices. On the other, high inflation, big government debt loads and signals of solid growth have pushed bond yields up, making it more expensive to fund capital-intensive projects. AI companies have been particularly exposed because their datacenters and chip purchases are often financed heavily with debt, leaving them sensitive to swings in interest rates and to any doubts about whether their spending will pay off.

Key Perspectives

AI companies: Chipmakers, cloud providers and platform companies continue to report growth, but strong results are no longer enough to satisfy investors focused on costs, debt and stretched valuations.

Investors: The selloff reflects concern that AI infrastructure is expensive to finance and that share prices ran too far too fast, even as companies in the industry keep growing.

Bond market: The sharp fall in Treasury yields shows investors still regard US government debt as a safe haven in a shaky session, even while longer-term worries about deficits keep yields historically high.

What to Watch

  • Whether oil prices keep climbing on developments in the war with Iran; Brent has risen from under $97 a barrel at the start of the month to above $113.
  • The next batch of AI earnings, particularly any sign that profit growth is weakening even as revenue grows.
  • The direction of the 10-year Treasury yield, which has swung sharply from above 5.30% earlier this month to 4.97% on Thursday.

Sources

Checked

12 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 12 supported.

Show each claim
  1. SupportedAn AI-stock selloff dragged global markets lower while oil reached a five-month high.World news | The Guardian: “The latest shudder for stocks in the AI industry pulled markets lower worldwide on Thursday, while oil prices hit their highest levels since May”
  2. SupportedThe S&P 500 had its worst day since July.World news | The Guardian: “The S&P 500 fell 1.2% for its worst day since July”
  3. SupportedNvidia, Meta and Lam Research were among the stocks leading declines.World news | The Guardian: “Lam Research’s tumbled 11.8%. Other big tech stocks likewise fell following quarterly reports”
  4. SupportedBrent crude jumped 4%.World news | The Guardian: “The price for a barrel of Brent crude oil leaped 4% to $113.17”
  5. SupportedGlobal markets fell on Thursday as AI-related stock weakness pulled markets lower, while oil prices rose amid worries about the war with Iran.World news | The Guardian: “The latest shudder for stocks in the AI industry pulled markets lower worldwide on Thursday, while oil prices hit their highest levels since May on worries about the war with Iran”
  6. SupportedThe S&P 500 fell 1.2%.World news | The Guardian: “The S&P 500 fell 1.2%”
  7. SupportedThe Nasdaq composite fell 2.6%.World news | The Guardian: “the Nasdaq composite tumbled 2.6%”
  8. SupportedTwo out of every three S&P 500 stocks rose.World news | The Guardian: “Two out of every three stocks within the S&P 500 rose on Thursday”
  9. SupportedLam Research shares fell 11.8% despite profit and revenue gains that slightly exceeded analysts’ expectations.World news | The Guardian: “reported gains in profit and revenue for the summer that were slightly stronger than analysts expected ... Lam Research’s tumbled 11.8%.”
  10. SupportedMeta Platforms shares fell 7%.World news | The Guardian: “Meta Platforms ... lost 7% after reporting stronger revenue for the latest quarter than analysts expected, shedding tens of billions in market value, though its profit fell short.”
  11. SupportedNvidia fell 4.4% and was the single strongest force pulling the S&P 500 lower.World news | The Guardian: “The global tide against AI stocks knocked Nvidia down 4.4%. Because the chip giant is the largest company on Wall Street by total value, movements for its stock carry more weight on the S&P 500 than any other, and it was the single strongest force pulling the index lower.”
  12. SupportedCEO Shailesh Jejurikar said P&G expected “geopolitical and economic challenges” to continue.World news | The Guardian: “CEO Shailesh Jejurikar said Procter & Gamble expected “geopolitical and economic challenges” to continue”

Zotpaper

Written by Rex Doyle on the Business & markets desk. Claims checked by Ines Fairley, verification. Edited by Angus Burke, chief sub. Plate by Ollie Flash, picture desk.

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