CATL shares tumble on profit miss and growing competition

China's battery giant faces headwinds from cheaper rivals and EU protectionism

By LineZotpaper
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CATL, China's leading battery manufacturer, saw its shares plunge after reporting slower-than-expected profit growth, as intensifying domestic competition and electric vehicle price wars take a toll. The company's stock has nearly halved since May, with investors concerned over expiring tax breaks and a trend toward sourcing batteries from cheaper alternatives.

The Shenzhen-based company is also navigating challenges abroad, rushing to build more plants in Europe to avoid escalating protectionist measures from the European Union. Former customers such as Xiaomi and Li Auto are increasingly turning to lower-cost battery suppliers or developing their own in-house capabilities, a shift analysts have dubbed 'de-CATLization.' According to a UBS analyst, the broader 'China decoupling story' is accelerating, as global supply chains seek to reduce reliance on Chinese battery and electrical equipment suppliers, mirroring past shifts away from oil dependence on the Middle East.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • CATL's struggles reflect broader challenges in the EV market, including price wars and supply chain diversification.
  • The shift away from CATL could reshape global battery supply chains, impacting EV production and pricing worldwide.
  • EU protectionism threatens CATL's expansion plans, raising stakes for the company's European strategy.

Background

CATL is the world's largest manufacturer of lithium-ion batteries, dominating the market for electric vehicles and energy storage. However, rising competition from domestic rivals and a push by automakers to reduce costs are pressuring its market share. The company's reliance on tax incentives in China is also fading, adding to investor unease. The concept of 'de-CATLization' reflects a broader trend where customers seek alternatives to mitigate risks of supply concentration.

Key Perspectives

CATL: The company is responding by accelerating plant construction in Europe to sidestep EU trade barriers and secure access to the region's growing EV market. Customers (Xiaomi, Li Auto): These firms are diversifying away from CATL by sourcing cheaper batteries and developing in-house technologies, aiming to lower costs and reduce dependency. Analysts (UBS): They view the shift as part of a larger global decoupling from Chinese supply chains, warning that full reliance on China for batteries is increasingly seen as a strategic risk.

What to Watch

  • CATL's stock performance in the coming months as the company reports earnings.
  • Progress on CATL's European factory projects and any policy shifts in the EU.
  • The pace of 'de-CATLization' as more automakers announce alternative battery partnerships.

Sources

Checked

12 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 6 supported.

Show each claim
  1. SupportedCATL shares tumbled on a profit miss and competition fears.Semafor: “CATL shares plunged after the company reported slower-than-expected profit growth, as China’s battery champion reckoned with intensifying domestic competition and EV price wars.”
  2. SupportedChina’s battery giant faces headwinds from cheaper rivals and EU protectionism.Semafor: “former customers like Xiaomi and Li Auto source batteries from cheaper alternatives”
  3. SupportedCATL shares plunged after it reported slower-than-expected profit growth.Semafor: “CATL shares plunged after the company reported slower-than-expected profit growth”
  4. Partly supportedDomestic competition and EV price wars are taking a toll on CATL.Semafor: “as China’s battery champion reckoned with intensifying domestic competition and EV price wars.”
  5. SupportedCATL’s stock has nearly halved since May.Semafor: “Its stock has nearly halved since May”
  6. Not in the sourcesCATL is based in Shenzhen.
  7. SupportedCATL is scrambling to build more plants in Europe to avoid increasing EU protectionism.Semafor: “Beyond domestic challenges, CATL is also scrambling to build more plants in Europe to avoid running afoul of increasing EU protectionism.”
  8. Partly supportedFormer customers Xiaomi and Li Auto are increasingly sourcing cheaper batteries or developing their own in-house capabilities.Semafor: “former customers like Xiaomi and Li Auto source batteries from cheaper alternatives and plan to develop them in-house.”
  9. Partly supportedAnalysts have dubbed the shift “de-CATLization.”Semafor: “a trend dubbed “ de-CATLization ,” whereby former customers like Xiaomi and Li Auto source batteries from cheaper alternatives”
  10. SupportedA UBS analyst said the China decoupling story is accelerating.Semafor: “The “China decoupling story” is “only accelerating,” a UBS analyst said”
  11. Partly supportedGlobal supply chains are seeking to reduce reliance on Chinese battery and electrical-equipment suppliers.Semafor: ““Full China battery and electrical equipment supply chain dependence is no more palatable than full Saudi Arabia or Middle East oil dependence was… 30 years ago.””
  12. Partly supportedThis mirrors past shifts away from dependence on Middle Eastern oil.Semafor: ““Full China battery and electrical equipment supply chain dependence is no more palatable than full Saudi Arabia or Middle East oil dependence was… 30 years ago.””

Correction

An earlier version of this story described Xiaomi and Li Auto as CATL customers. They are former customers.

Zotpaper

Written by June Katz on the Business & markets desk. Claims checked by Ines Fairley, verification. Edited by Angus Burke, chief sub. Plate by Ollie Flash, picture desk.

1 source6 of 12 claims matched to a sourcefirst published updated once
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