Benchmarks have long shaped the trajectory of AI research. In 1987, a DARPA benchmark on automatic speech-to-text translation showed that state-of-the-art AI could not outperform simple statistical methods, contributing to a so-called AI winter that saw funding dry up and interest wane for 25 years. Then, in 2012, the ImageNet benchmark saw an eight-layer neural network outperform other algorithms at image classification, sparking the deep learning revolution.
Today, benchmarks for large language models such as OpenAI’s GPT-6 Astra appear with clockwork regularity. Yet many in the field — skeptics and critics alike — question whether these tests truly measure progress.
Hardt, who calls benchmarks “the mistake that made machine learning,” argues they can still drive progress if treated with more scientific rigor. His book explores where benchmarks went wrong and why they continue to dominate the field despite their flaws.