EU backs 46 strategic mineral projects to reduce China dependency ahead of potential trade crisis

Bloc commits €21bn to lithium, rare earths and gallium plants as trade talks with Beijing continue

By LineZotpaper
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The European Union has announced support for 46 new strategic projects aimed at accelerating supplies of critical raw materials by 2030, as the bloc moves to head off a potential trade crisis with China. Industry commissioner Stéphane Séjourné warned that trade tensions could trigger a crisis in multiple sectors within months.

The EU industry commissioner, Stéphane Séjourné, said on Friday that the bloc would support 46 new strategic projects to accelerate supplies of critical raw materials by 2030, with a total funding cost of €21bn (£17.8bn). The projects include plants for lithium, gallium and rare earths needed for the auto, defence and renewable energy industries.

"We could face a crisis in the coming months," Séjourné said. "We may face trade tensions that could also trigger a crisis in a number of sectors. We need to be prepared for that. And we're getting ready right now."

The announcement comes as the EU's trade commissioner, Maroš Šefčovič, continues talks in Beijing aimed at reducing China's trade surplus with the bloc, which Séjourné described as "unsustainable".

Amid some scepticism over the EU's ability to meet its 2030 targets to reduce dependencies on China, Séjourné highlighted three "emblematic" projects already designated as strategic and earmarked for accelerated permits. These include the Carester rare earths plant near Pau in south-western France, expected to be operational in late 2026, which will produce dysprosium and terbium — raw materials for which the EU is "almost entirely dependent on China" and used in magnets for electric vehicles and offshore wind turbines. "This single project could account for about 15% of global production of these oxides," Séjourné said. He also named a gallium plant in Greece already running and Keliber, a lithium extraction and processing plant in Finland, operational after €150m support from the European Investment Bank.

The 46 projects are the second batch to receive flagship status since the Critical Raw Materials Act of 2024, which legally mandates the European Commission to reduce the bloc's dependency on foreign countries. The EU hopes to follow Japan, which reduced its dependency on China for rare earths to 60% from 90% since 2011, when Beijing prohibited exports to about 20 entities in Japan.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The EU's move directly affects European industries reliant on Chinese raw materials, from electric vehicles to defence and renewables, reducing their exposure to supply disruptions.
  • A trade war with China could raise costs for European consumers and businesses, making domestic supply chains a critical buffer.
  • The success or failure of these projects will signal whether Europe can achieve strategic autonomy in key technologies by 2030.

Background

The EU passed the Critical Raw Materials Act in 2024, setting legal targets to reduce dependence on foreign suppliers, particularly China, which dominates global processing of rare earths, lithium and gallium. The bloc has traditionally relied on imports for these materials, leaving it vulnerable to geopolitical pressure. China's 2011 export restrictions to Japan demonstrated how dependencies can be weaponised. The current push accelerates efforts first outlined in the act, with a focus on building a complete European value chain from mining to processing.

Key Perspectives

EU leaders: They see the projects as essential for economic security and industrial competitiveness, arguing that accelerated permits and EU funding can deliver results by 2030 despite scepticism. China: Beijing has not commented publicly on the EU's announcement, but ongoing trade talks suggest it may seek to maintain its dominant position while negotiating on surpluses. Critics: Some doubt the EU's ability to meet its 2030 targets given the long timelines for mining and processing projects, environmental opposition, and the sheer scale of investment required compared to China's established infrastructure.

What to Watch

  • The outcome of trade commissioner Šefčovič's talks in Beijing this week, which could escalate or de-escalate tensions.
  • Progress of the Carester plant in France and whether it reaches its late 2026 production target.
  • Any additional EU funding or regulatory changes to speed up permitting for future strategic projects.

Sources

Zotpaper

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