Experts question Zelensky claim that data centre strikes crippled Russian bot networks

BBC Verify finds no evidence that attacks on Yandex facilities significantly reduced Kremlin-linked disinformation operations

By LineZotpaper
Published
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Ukraine's recent strikes on Russian data centres have prompted Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky to claim that Moscow's bot networks have been degraded, resulting in less online hate and division. However, BBC Verify reports that experts have found no evidence the attacks significantly reduced Kremlin-linked influence operations, and that viral social media claims to the contrary appear to stem from a misinterpretation of technical data.

Viral social media posts have claimed there has been a significant drop in Russian influence operations in recent days. President Zelensky suggested on Monday there was "less hate, less division and fewer provocations" online because of "fewer bots".

Ukraine has struck three of Russian tech giant Yandex's five data centres since 8 October, in response to Moscow's attacks on Ukrainian internet hubs. The second of these strikes last week caused Yandex, often described as Russia's Google, to announce it was struggling to maintain its services.

But BBC Verify, which tracks Russian influence operations, reports that claims these attacks have affected disinformation campaigns appear to have come from a misinterpretation of data produced by tech firm Cloudflare. Some social media users have been sharing Cloudflare charts that show bot activity using Yandex's network has declined. However, experts note that while bots are commonly associated with fake social media accounts pushing divisive content, they are also used for legitimate automated tasks such as scanning web pages for search engines. The decline in Yandex network bot traffic does not necessarily equate to a decline in influence operations.

Russian influence operations, which promote pro-Kremlin narratives and spread disinformation, have been tracked by researchers and journalists including BBC Verify for more than a decade. These campaigns push disinformation onto people's social media feeds on issues including the Ukraine war and post messages in support of Moscow's interests.

BBC Verify's investigation found no evidence that the data centre strikes have significantly reduced the bot networks engaged in political disinformation, including accounts posting supportive messages about groups such as the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement in the US and the far-right AfD party in Germany.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The claim that Ukraine has dealt a blow to Russian disinformation operations has spread widely, potentially shaping public perception of the conflict's information warfare dimension.
  • If the claims are unsubstantiated, they could create a false sense of progress in countering Russian influence campaigns.
  • The episode highlights how technical data (Cloudflare bot traffic metrics) can be misinterpreted when applied to complex disinformation operations.

Background

Ukraine and Russia have been engaged in an information war alongside the physical conflict. Russia has long employed bot networks and disinformation campaigns to influence public opinion both domestically and abroad, including in Western elections. Yandex is Russia's largest technology company, providing search, email, and cloud services, and its data centres are critical infrastructure. Ukraine has targeted these facilities as part of a broader campaign against Russian military and digital infrastructure.

Key Perspectives

Ukraine and supporters: The strikes on Yandex data centres are portrayed as a legitimate response to Russian attacks on Ukrainian internet infrastructure, with President Zelensky arguing they have reduced harmful online activity. Experts and researchers: BBC Verify and other analysts caution that there is no evidence the strikes have significantly disrupted Kremlin-linked influence operations, and that the drop in Yandex network bot traffic likely reflects disruption to other services, not disinformation bots. Russian officials: The Kremlin would likely deny that its bot networks have been affected, and may use the episode to portray Ukraine's strikes as targeting civilian infrastructure.

What to Watch

  • Whether Cloudflare or other tech firms release more granular data distinguishing legitimate automated traffic from disinformation bots.
  • Any further strikes on Russian data centres and Yandex's ability to maintain services.
  • Continued monitoring by researchers of social media activity to detect any actual reduction in pro-Kremlin influence operations.

Sources

Zotpaper

Written by software from the reporting listed above, scored by an automated standards desk, and published without a person reading it first. If something here is wrong, tell the editor and it will be put right.

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