Firmus faces investor doubts ahead of record $43.7b ASX float

AI data centre developer seeks A$7 billion in second-largest Australian IPO despite losses and backlash

By LineZotpaper
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Firmus Technologies, a developer of AI data centres, is pressing ahead with a float on the Australian Securities Exchange on October 23 that values the company at up to A$43.7 billion, making it the second-largest IPO in Australian history, but many investors are questioning whether the loss-making company deserves such a valuation.

Firmus Technologies is seeking to raise A$7 billion from investors in a listing that would be the second-largest initial public offering in Australian history, behind only Telstra's 1997 privatisation. The float is scheduled for October 23 on the Australian Securities Exchange.

However, the company faces significant scepticism. According to a senior lecturer in finance at Adelaide University writing for The Conversation, only about 5% of Firmus's contracted capacity is currently operational, compared with roughly a quarter for rivals such as NextDC, Australia's largest listed data centre company. The valuation would be about four times that of NextDC.

Firmus is losing money, and its financials, including current and forecast revenue, debt levels, and construction costs, have not yet been disclosed. They are expected in the company's prospectus on Thursday. A media report late Wednesday suggested the company's bankers were even considering lowering the announced offer price.

The company's track record is short: only two of its data centres are operational, with the rest in planning or construction. It also faces public backlash in Tasmania, where locals say they were not properly consulted about three planned giant data centres. Adding to the controversy, its two co-chief executives are cousins, one of whom, Oliver Curtis, is a former investment banker who went to jail for insider trading a decade ago.

The team has shown it can raise money, but analysts question whether it can deliver multibillion-dollar building projects in a crowded market, particularly at a time when AI valuations are already high and Firmus's price sits at the top end of similar AI infrastructure companies.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The IPO's success or failure will signal investor appetite for AI infrastructure companies at a time when valuations are already elevated.
  • The listing is the largest in Australia in decades and could shape the market for future tech floats.
  • The outcome affects Tasmanian communities facing large data centre developments and the broader debate over AI energy and land use.

Background

Firmus is a developer of AI data centres, a sector that has attracted huge investment as cloud and AI demand grows. The company has signed major contracts, including with OpenAI as an anchor customer, and is expanding into Malaysia. However, its financial performance has lagged behind peers, and it faces local opposition and leadership scrutiny.

Key Perspectives

Firmus and its backers: The company argues its contracted capacity and strategic partnerships justify a high valuation, and it has demonstrated an ability to raise capital. Investors and analysts: Many doubt the valuation, citing minimal operational capacity, losses, and a crowded market. They await full financial disclosure in the prospectus. Tasmanian communities: Local residents have petitioned against the data centre projects, saying they were not adequately consulted about their environmental and social impacts. Critics: The leadership's past, including the insider trading conviction of one co-CEO, raises governance concerns, and the timing of the float amid high AI valuations adds risk.

What to Watch

  • The release of the prospectus on Thursday, which will reveal revenue forecasts, debt, and construction costs.
  • Whether the offer price is cut, as reports suggest bankers are considering.
  • The subscription result and the share price performance in the days following the October 23 listing.

Sources

Zotpaper

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