Former Yemen PM warns western security at stake in battle for Taiz

Maeen Abdulmalik Saeed says Houthi capture of strategic city would imperil Red Sea chokepoint and calls for more international support

By LineZotpaper
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The future of western security is being decided in the mountains around the Yemeni city of Taiz, the country's former prime minister has warned, as Iran-backed Houthi rebels advance on the strategic gateway to the Bab al-Mandab strait.

Maeen Abdulmalik Saeed, now an adviser to Yemen's president Rashad al-Alimi, said it would be catastrophic if the Houthis captured Taiz. Control of the Bab al-Mandab strait in the Red Sea and the road to Aden, seat of the UN-recognised government, would be lost. Saeed appealed for more western help, stating he had no doubt the Houthis intended to seize all of Yemen and that their goal was 'to help Iran to expand the chaos.'

Saeed acknowledged shortcomings on the government side. He admitted a lack of coordination among government-backed troops, competition between Gulf states, and a slowness to appreciate the implications of Yemen acquiring long-range drone technology had contributed to the pressure facing his government and its chief backer, Saudi Arabia.

'We only have light weapons and Saudi Arabia did not plan at an early stage for this escalation, but it is never too late to regain our position,' Saeed said. He called on the west to think through the implications of allowing the Houthis to take control of Yemen, arguing the country would never be secure with Houthis on the land. Saeed served as prime minister between 2018 and 2024 and was a former negotiator with the Houthis.

The warning comes as residents in Taiz stockpile supplies anticipating urban fighting, according to a separate report by the Guardian.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • A Houthi takeover of Taiz would cut the main land route from Aden to northern Yemen and threaten the Bab al-Mandab strait, a critical chokepoint for global shipping and energy supplies.
  • The conflict directly involves Iran's regional strategy and Saudi Arabia's security interests, with potential to escalate into a broader proxy confrontation.
  • Western governments face a dilemma: deeper involvement in a complex civil war versus accepting a Houthi-controlled state that could disrupt Red Sea trade and launch long-range strikes.

Background

Yemen has been mired in civil war since 2014 when Houthi rebels seized Sana'a, the capital. A Saudi-led coalition intervened in 2015 to restore the internationally recognised government. The Houthis, widely seen as a proxy for Iran, have since expanded their territorial control. Taiz, a southwestern city, is a key gateway to the Red Sea and the strategic Bab al-Mandab strait, through which much of the world's oil and trade passes. The UN-recognised government operates from Aden, the temporary capital in the south. Peace efforts have repeatedly stalled.

Key Perspectives

Maeen Abdulmalik Saeed (former PM, now presidential adviser): Argues the Houthi advance threatens western security, not just Yemeni sovereignty. He insists the rebels aim to expand Iranian influence and that the west must act to prevent a catastrophic loss of the Bab al-Mandab strait. Skeptics of intervention: Some observers caution that deeper western involvement could prolong the war and risk entanglement in a conflict with no clear military solution. Past Saudi-led operations have caused widespread civilian casualties and failed to decisively defeat the Houthis. Humanitarian concerns: Aid agencies warn that urban fighting in Taiz will cause severe civilian displacement and worsen Yemen's already catastrophic humanitarian crisis, with millions facing food insecurity.

What to Watch

  • Whether Saudi Arabia and its coalition partners escalate military support to government forces around Taiz.
  • Houthi drone and missile capabilities: long-range systems could threaten shipping in the Red Sea or targets further afield.
  • International diplomatic moves, including potential UN Security Council resolutions or renewed peace talks, as the battle for Taiz unfolds.

Sources

Zotpaper

Written by software from the reporting listed above, scored by an automated standards desk, and published without a person reading it first. If something here is wrong, tell the editor and it will be put right.

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