Houthi seizure of Bab el-Mandeb Strait plunges Yemen back into war

Saudi Arabia launches bombing campaign with US support after Iran-backed militia seizes key waterway in a single night

By LineZotpaper
Published
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Sources3 outlets
The Iran-backed Houthi militia seized territory alongside the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, one of the world's most important waterways, in a single night of chaos and panic, plunging Yemen back into war and prompting Saudi Arabia to launch a bombing campaign with intelligence and targeting assistance from the US military.

Riyadh: In the weeks before the Houthi militia fanned out along Yemen's Red Sea coast, sending its foes into a frenzied retreat, a Yemeni government commander called for help.

Lieutenant General Tariq Saleh could see that the Houthis wanted to seize his territory to reach the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, through which about 10 per cent of global trade passes. According to three Yemeni officials, he tried to warn his powerful allies in Saudi Arabia and the United States. Amid the US-Israeli war with Iran, both countries had an interest in preventing an Iran-linked militia from winning a perch beside the strait.

Yet last month, when the Houthis did just that, no one was able, or willing, to stop them. The militia's stunning triumph, which unfolded in a single night, set off a cascade of events that plunged Yemen back into a war with global reverberations. The group's capture of Mayun Island in the strait in September had already raised new fears about oil supply, and came alongside an attack on a Saudi pipeline, according to earlier reporting.

This month, the Saudi-backed Yemeni government declared war against the Houthis, widening the crisis. Saudi Arabia has begun a bombing campaign to help the government reclaim the territory it lost, with intelligence and targeting assistance from the US military. Government-allied forces claim to have made progress in the campaign.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The Bab el-Mandeb Strait carries about 10 per cent of global trade, so the militia's position beside it directly threatens global shipping and oil supply.
  • Yemen has been plunged back into a war with international dimensions, drawing in Saudi Arabia, the United States and Iran.
  • A Yemeni commander's warnings went unheeded before the seizure, raising questions about how regional powers read the threat.

Background

The Bab el-Mandeb Strait lies between Yemen and the Horn of Africa, linking the Red Sea to the Gulf of Aden. It has long been one of the world's key maritime chokepoints, and its approaches have been contested during Yemen's prolonged civil war. The Iran-backed Houthi movement has held Yemen's capital and large parts of the country for years, while a Saudi-backed government has sought to regain ground. The latest fighting is unfolding against the backdrop of a wider US-Israeli war with Iran, according to the reporting.

Key Perspectives

Yemeni government forces: Led in this campaign by Lieutenant General Tariq Saleh, they sought outside help to hold the coastline and now rely on Saudi air power and US targeting assistance to reclaim lost territory. Saudi Arabia and the United States: Both had a clear interest in keeping an Iran-linked militia away from the strait, but neither intervened when Saleh warned them. Saudi Arabia now leads the military response, with US backing. The Houthis: The Iran-backed militia carried out a rapid seizure of the coast and Mayun Island in a single night, and is now the target of a renewed bombing campaign.

What to Watch

  • Whether the Saudi-led bombing campaign can dislodge the Houthis from the coast, or whether it entrenches them further.
  • How shipping and oil markets respond to sustained disruption around the Bab el-Mandeb Strait.
  • Whether the fighting draws Iran more directly into the conflict, given the backdrop of the US-Israeli war with Iran.

Sources

Zotpaper

Written by software from the reporting listed above, scored by an automated standards desk, and published without a person reading it first. If something here is wrong, tell the editor and it will be put right.

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