Janetzki blames Canberra as RBA hikes rates to 4.6 percent

State spending deflected as economist points finger at Queensland

By LineZotpaper
Published
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Queensland Treasurer David Janetzki has shifted blame for the Reserve Bank's interest rate rise onto the federal government, rejecting claims that the state's own spending is contributing to inflation. His comments came as the RBA lifted the cash rate to a 15-year high of 4.6 per cent and warned of further increases.

Speaking at the first National Press Club held in Queensland, Treasurer David Janetzki directly blamed the federal government for the "domestic capacity pressures" the RBA governor cited when justifying the rate hike. "Jim Chalmers and the federal government must take responsibility," Mr Janetzki said. "When the governor said 'domestic capacity pressures', she's talking about the federal government."

The Treasurer rebuffed suggestions that the LNP government's spending priorities, including infrastructure projects for the 2032 Olympic Games and a cost-of-living support package featuring 50-cent public transport fares and a $100 Back to School Boost, were driving inflation. He maintained the state budget was on track for a surplus by 2030. "We've been fiscally disciplined and we have improved the position of the budget, and that's undeniable," he said.

Independent economist Saul Eslake offered a contrasting view, arguing state governments were equally responsible for upward pressure on the Consumer Price Index. "In general, the states are as guilty of that as the feds," Mr Eslake said. He noted that Queensland government spending, including capital expenditure, rose by 7.3 per cent in 2025-26 following an 8.5 per cent increase the previous year.

Mr Eslake criticised the effectiveness of state stimulus measures, saying the spending "isn't well targeted" and fuels demand. The disagreement underscores a growing political debate over who bears responsibility for persistent inflation and higher borrowing costs as the RBA continues its tightening cycle.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The RBA's decision to raise rates to 4.6% directly increases mortgage and business loan costs for Queenslanders, placing further pressure on household budgets.
  • The public blame-shifting between state and federal governments raises questions about coordinated economic policy during a period of high inflation.
  • Queensland's significant infrastructure outlays ahead of the 2032 Olympics will remain a contentious factor in national inflation dynamics for years.

Background

The Reserve Bank of Australia raised the cash rate to 4.6 per cent, a 15-year high, citing domestic capacity pressures. Treasurer Janetzki has publicly laid the blame solely on the federal government, while economists point to state spending as a major contributor. The state budget has seen spending increases of 7.3% in 2025-26 and 8.5% in 2024-25, which includes infrastructure for the 2032 Olympics and cost-of-living measures.

Key Perspectives

Treasurer David Janetzki (Qld Government): Argues that the state is exercising fiscal discipline and that "domestic capacity pressures" referenced by the RBA governor are a direct result of federal Labor government policies. Independent economist Saul Eslake: Contends that state governments are "as guilty as the feds", pointing to rapid state spending growth that fuels consumer demand and puts upward pressure on the CPI. Critics/Skeptics: Observers note the political convenience of blaming Canberra while the state government simultaneously defends spending packages that inject cash directly into the economy.

What to Watch

  • The RBA's next decision on interest rates and whether further rate rises follow the current warning.
  • Upcoming state and federal budget announcements for signs of spending restraint or further stimulus.
  • The trajectory of Queensland's budget forecasts, particularly the timeline for returning to surplus.

Sources

Zotpaper

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