Ken Paxton admits in leaked audio that Iran war and gas prices hurt Republican campaign

Texas Senate candidate acknowledges affordability is Republicans' 'biggest problem' ahead of midterms

By LineZotpaper
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Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, the Republican candidate in a competitive Senate race, has been heard on leaked audio acknowledging that rising fuel prices resulting from Donald Trump's Iran war are dragging his campaign and hurting his party ahead of next month's midterm elections. In a recording obtained by Axios, Paxton told donors that affordability is Republicans' 'biggest problem' and that polling shows Democrats ahead in many races, including his own.

Ken Paxton, the Texas attorney general running as the Republican candidate in a competitive Senate race, admitted privately that rising fuel prices as a result of Donald Trump's Iran war were hurting his party before the midterms, according to leaked audio obtained by Axios.

Asked what issues were 'dragging' his campaign at a closed-door fundraising event, Paxton replied: 'It's not tariffs … it's the war, it's gas prices, it's diesel.' He noted that diesel prices above $6 per gallon mean 'people are feeling the pinch.'

Paxton acknowledged affordability was Republicans' 'biggest problem' heading into the election, citing polling numbers showing Democrats ahead in many competitive races, including his own.

Trump has tried to change the narrative on affordability. He picked Paxton to run in the Texas Senate race and will join him at a rally in San Antonio on Wednesday evening. But Paxton appeared to recognise the uphill battle, telling those at the closed-door events that 'so many factors in this federal race are uncontrollable.' 'I don't make the decisions, and I don't, you know, I don't know what's behind some of the decisions,' he said.

Madison Cercy, a spokesperson for Paxton's campaign, dismissed the comments as 'a non-story,' stating that 'the attorney general said what every Texan already knows: gas and diesel prices are too high, and hardworking Texans are struggling at the pump and at the grocery store.' She said Trump is doing everything to bring prices down and that Paxton would go to Washington to help by pushing for a bigger child tax credit and larger deductions for health care and home buying. Cercy added that Paxton's Democratic opponent, James Talarico, would raise taxes.

Recent polling from the Associated Press/NORC Center for Public Affairs Research indicates most adults blame Trump for poor economic conditions.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The leaked audio exposes a rare admission from a Republican candidate that the party's own policies on tariffs and the Iran war are fuelling affordability concerns, a central issue in the midterms.
  • It reveals internal tension: Trump's chosen candidate acknowledges the president's decisions are hurting his campaign, undermining the White House's messaging on the economy.
  • The outcome of the Texas Senate race could determine control of the Senate, making Paxton's vulnerability significant beyond state lines.

Background

Ken Paxton has been Texas attorney general since 2015 and is a prominent Trump ally. He entered the Senate race after Trump pushed him to run, hoping to flip a seat currently held by a retiring Democrat. The midterm elections are scheduled for November 2026. Economic issues, particularly inflation and fuel prices, have dominated voter concerns. Trump's decision to go to war with Iran has disrupted global oil markets, pushing diesel and gasoline prices higher in the United States.

Key Perspectives

Paxton and campaign: They acknowledge the problem publicly but blame external forces; the spokesperson argues Trump is working to lower prices and promises tax relief to win back voters. Democrats and critics: The leaked audio is ammunition to argue that even Republicans know their policies are failing working families. Democratic candidate James Talarico is likely to use the comments on the campaign trail. Voters: Many Texans are feeling the pinch at the pump and grocery store, and polling suggests they blame Trump and his party, which could drive turnout against Republican candidates.

What to Watch

  • Trump's rally with Paxton in San Antonio tonight: whether he addresses the leaked audio and how he frames the economy.
  • Subsequent polling in Texas and other competitive Senate races to see if the affordability issue shifts voter intent.
  • Whether more leaked recordings from closed-door events emerge as campaigns scramble.

Sources

Zotpaper

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