Meta revenue surges to $64.6 billion but legal penalties and AI spending crater profit and free cash flow

A $25 billion penalty order from a New Mexico judge over Cambridge Analytica and a $10 billion youth safety charge pushed operating income to $13 billion, well below estimates

By LineZotpaper
Published
Updated
Read Time3 min
Sources2 outlets
Meta Platforms reported a 26% revenue jump to $64.6 billion for the third quarter, beating analyst expectations, but net income and operating profit were hammered by billions in legal penalties and surging AI infrastructure spending. The company also revealed it had been ordered to pay $25 billion in a long-running privacy case, a judgment it plans to appeal.

Mark Zuckerberg's Meta said Wednesday that third-quarter revenue rose to $64.6 billion, above the $63.3 billion expected by analysts, according to Visible Alpha consensus from S&P Global Market Intelligence. Net income came in at $9.9 billion, or $3.83 a share, compared with $2.7 billion a year ago. However, operating income, profit from the company's core business, slumped to $13 billion from $20.5 billion in the same period last year and against the $16.9 billion analysts had forecast. Operating margin sank to 20%, down from 31% in the prior quarter and 40% a year earlier.

The earnings were overshadowed by two major legal developments. Hours before the results were released, a New Mexico judge ordered Meta to pay $25 billion in penalties related to the Cambridge Analytica data privacy scandal. A jury had earlier found more than 43 million violations, meaning the penalty could have reached nearly $220 billion. Meta intends to appeal. Separately, the third-quarter results included a charge from a $10 billion settlement Meta reached with a group of state attorneys general over youth safety. The settlement terms require Meta to pay about $18 billion to the states over the next decade, depending on cooperation from TikTok and Google's YouTube. Without the charge, operating income would have been $22.9 billion and earnings $7.40 a share.

Capital expenditures, closely watched by tech investors, hit $34.9 billion in the quarter, up from $31 billion in the second quarter and $19.4 billion a year ago. Meta slightly narrowed its full-year capex guidance to $135 billion to $145 billion, from the previous $130 billion to $145 billion. Free cash flow turned negative at $2.1 billion, compared with $784 million in the second quarter and a positive $10.6 billion a year earlier. Melissa Otto, global head of Visible Alpha research at S&P Global, noted before the results that consensus capex for 2026 had risen more than $14 billion since April to about $140 billion, almost double 2025. She added that investors continue to seek clarity on how the spending will translate into shareholder returns. Overall tech infrastructure capex is expected to reach $790 billion in 2026, nearly double the $404 billion in 2025, and is projected to rise to $1.2 trillion in 2027, meaning companies will have spent nearly $2 trillion on the AI buildout over two years.

§

Analysis

Why This Matters

  • Legal penalties of this scale set a tough precedent for big tech companies facing privacy and youth safety claims, potentially reshaping regulatory risk assessments across the sector.
  • The negative free cash flow and rising capex underscore the heavy cost of Meta's AI infrastructure push, raising questions about when those investments will generate returns for shareholders.
  • The New Mexico judgment and the youth safety settlement together could approach $35 billion in total payouts, imposing a significant financial burden even for a company of Meta's size.

Background

Meta has been pouring billions into AI infrastructure as part of its long-term strategy to build advanced models and services. Last week, the company launched Muse Wonder, its first frontier AI model, through its Superintelligence Labs. The Cambridge Analytica scandal, centred on the misuse of millions of users' data, has dogged Meta for years. The company has also faced mounting scrutiny over how its platforms affect younger users, leading to multi-state investigations and settlements.

Key Perspectives

Investors: While revenue growth remains strong, the squeeze on operating margins and negative free cash flow are worrying signs. Analysts want concrete evidence that enormous capital spending on AI will eventually boost earnings rather than simply inflate costs. Regulators and states: The New Mexico judge's penalty and the multi-state youth safety settlement reflect a determination to hold Meta accountable for past data privacy failures and alleged harms to minors. The $18 billion payout to states is contingent on cooperation from other platforms, suggesting regulators are aiming for industry-wide change. Meta: The company has said it will appeal the $25 billion Cambridge Analytica judgment. It has also agreed to the youth safety settlement without admitting wrongdoing, and continues to invest heavily in AI, betting that the long-term payoff will justify the short-term hit to profitability.

What to Watch

  • Whether Meta's appeal succeeds in reducing or overturning the $25 billion Cambridge Analytica penalty.
  • The trajectory of free cash flow in coming quarters; continued negative cash flow could pressure the stock and force adjustments to spending plans.
  • How much of the $18 billion youth safety payout Meta ultimately has to fund, which depends on whether TikTok and YouTube cooperate with the settlement terms.

Sources

Checked

12 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 9 supported.

Show each claim
  1. Partly supportedLegal penalties and AI spending cratered Meta’s profit and free cash flow.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Meta’s revenue surges to $64.6 billion, but billions in settlements and skyrocketing AI spending turn screws on profit, free cash flow.”
  2. Partly supportedThe $25 billion New Mexico penalty order and $10 billion youth-safety charge pushed operating income to $13 billion, below estimates.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Meanwhile, Q3 included a charge from a separate $10 billion settlement Meta struck with a group of attorneys general over youth safety. Without the charge, operating income would have been $22.9 billion and earnings of $7.40 a share, rather than $13 billion and $3.83.”
  3. Partly supportedNet income and operating profit were hammered by legal penalties and surging AI infrastructure spending.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Meta reported net income of $9.9 billion, or $3.83 a share, versus $2.7 billion, or $1.05 a share in the year-ago period. Operating income, profit from its core business, fell to $13 billion $20.5 billion a year ago, against the $16.9 billion analysts expected.”
  4. SupportedMeta’s revenue rose 26% to $64.6 billion, above analysts’ $63.3 billion expectation.Fortune | FORTUNE: “third-quarter revenue rose 26% to $64.6 billion, above the $63.3 billion analysts expected, according to Visible Alpha consensus from S&P Global Market Intelligence.”
  5. SupportedNet income was $9.9 billion, or $3.83 a share, compared with $2.7 billion a year earlier.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Meta reported net income of $9.9 billion, or $3.83 a share, versus $2.7 billion, or $1.05 a share in the year-ago period.”
  6. SupportedOperating income fell to $13 billion from $20.5 billion and was below the $16.9 billion analyst estimate.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Operating income, profit from its core business, fell to $13 billion $20.5 billion a year ago, against the $16.9 billion analysts expected.”
  7. SupportedA New Mexico judge ordered Meta to pay $25 billion in penalties related to Cambridge Analytica, and Meta plans to appeal.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Hours before the results, news broke that a New Mexico judge ordered the company to pay $25 billion in penalties related to the Cambridge Analytica data privacy scandal. ... Meta plans to appeal.”
  8. SupportedA jury found more than 43 million violations, making a penalty of nearly $220 billion possible.Fortune | FORTUNE: “A jury previously found more than 43 million violations, which meant Meta’s penalty could have been nearly $220 billion.”
  9. SupportedThe third-quarter results included a charge from a $10 billion youth-safety settlement with attorneys general.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Meanwhile, Q3 included a charge from a separate $10 billion settlement Meta struck with a group of attorneys general over youth safety.”
  10. SupportedThe settlement requires Meta to pay about $18 billion to states over the next decade, depending on cooperation from TikTok and YouTube.Fortune | FORTUNE: “The terms of the settlement will see Meta pay about $18 billion to the states over the next decade, depending on cooperation from TikTok and Google’s YouTube.”
  11. SupportedMeta’s capital expenditures were $34.9 billion, up from $31 billion in the second quarter and $19.4 billion a year earlier.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Capital expenditures, which have tech investors on tenterhooks, clocked in at $34.9 billion, compared to $31 billion in the second quarter and $19.4 billion a year ago.”
  12. SupportedFree cash flow was negative $2.1 billion, compared with $784 million in the second quarter and positive $10.6 billion a year earlier.Fortune | FORTUNE: “Free cash flow, which has been a sore spot for Meta, was negative $2.1 billion, compared to $784 million in the second quarter and $10.6 billion a year ago.”

Zotpaper

Written by June Katz on the Business & markets desk. Claims checked by Ines Fairley, verification. Edited by Angus Burke, chief sub.

2 sources9 of 12 claims matched to a sourcefirst published
Meet the newsroomHow we workSubscribe