NextDC loses $3 billion in market value after profit downgrade over Melbourne power line dispute

Community opposition to high-voltage power lines delays flagship data centre project, sparking a 40% share slump and a potential class action

By LineZotpaper
Published
Read Time2 min
Sources3 outlets
NextDC, one of Australia's leading data centre operators, saw $3 billion wiped from its market value this week after slashing profit forecasts and construction spending due to community outrage that has delayed the installation of high-voltage power lines to its West Footscray M3 data centre. The 40% share price plunge triggered a sell-off across the sector and has prompted law firm Shine Lawyers to open an investigation into a potential class action on behalf of shareholders.

NextDC chief executive Craig Scroggie has described the company's situation as a disappointing setback, telling investors on a conference call that the group would pause further land purchases and not rule out sales. The company slashed its profit forecasts after energy distributor Jemena suspended a power upgrade following community and stakeholder opposition. The local council has withheld consent until more community consultation takes place.

Residents in the quiet suburban streets of Yarraville and West Footscray expressed frustration. Local Milco Bogoevski said the planned upgrade would affect his street for decades. Another resident, Jacqui Glover, described the situation as a constant battle.

Analysts have suggested the sell-off may be overdone. Morgans analyst Nick Harris described the low price as unwarranted if the issues are short-term, but acknowledged that investors are concerned about further delays and knock-on effects given NextDC's funding load. Morningstar's Dan Baker said community concerns could increase development costs and force data centres further from built-up areas.

Investor sentiment towards data centre stocks has been mixed. UniSuper's chief investment officer John Pearce told Bloomberg he is not keen on pure infrastructure players, drawing a parallel with the internet boom where the winners were companies like Netflix rather than the infrastructure owners.

Scroggie, known for his gym routine and strict uniform of black jeans and shirts, has been a prominent figure in the AI infrastructure boom. NextDC's market value had soared above $11 billion earlier this year before the sudden reversal. The company is now considering whether it can invoke force majeure clauses on contracts with AI-hungry customers whose computing power will not be delivered on time. Meanwhile, Shine Lawyers is investigating whether NextDC issued financial guidance without reasonable grounds or failed to inform investors of material impacts.

§

Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The $3 billion wipeout highlights the vulnerability of data centre operators to local community opposition, which can derail critical infrastructure projects.
  • The sell-off has dragged down the broader sector, including other Australian and US-listed players, raising questions about valuations in the AI infrastructure boom.
  • A potential class action could set a precedent for shareholder litigation when companies face unexpected project delays.

Background

NextDC is a major Australian data centre operator that develops massive facilities and sells computing power to technology giants such as Microsoft. The company benefited from the AI boom, which turned data centres into a hot investment sector. However, the massive power requirements for these facilities often necessitate high-voltage power line upgrades that can run through residential areas. In this case, a planned upgrade from 400 volts to 66,000 volts involved replacing wooden poles with steel structures up to 22 metres high, sparking community backlash in Melbourne's inner-west.

Key Perspectives

NextDC and CEO Craig Scroggie: The company argues that the power line delays are an external, short-term setback and that the rest of its business is performing well. Scroggie has sought to assure investors that the group remains in compliance with financial covenants. Local residents and the council: Community members are opposed to the visual and environmental impact of the high-voltage power lines, with some describing it as a constant battle. The local council is insisting on more consultation before granting consent. Analysts and investors: Some analysts see the sell-off as overdone if the issues are temporary, but acknowledge rising execution risks. Other investors, like UniSuper, are skeptical of the hype around data centre infrastructure, arguing that the real winners in AI will be software companies, not infrastructure owners. Shine Lawyers and shareholders: A class action investigation is underway, focusing on whether NextDC disclosed the power line issue in a timely manner and whether its financial guidance was reasonable.

What to Watch

  • Whether NextDC invokes force majeure clauses with its customers and how major clients like Microsoft respond.
  • The outcome of Shine Lawyers' investigation and any subsequent class action filing.
  • Further community consultation outcomes in Melbourne and whether the project can proceed with modifications.
  • Impact on other data centre developments and the broader sector's funding costs, as interest rates remain elevated.

Sources

Checked

10 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 9 supported.

Show each claim
  1. SupportedNextDC lost $3 billion in market value after a profit downgrade linked to the Melbourne power-line dispute.WA Today - Latest News: “The stock plunged more than 40 per cent on Wednesday, wiping $3 billion from its market valuation in hours. The shock drop was triggered by NextDC slashing its profit forecasts and construction spending in response to community outrage”
  2. SupportedCommunity opposition delayed the installation of power lines to NextDC’s flagship Melbourne data centre project.WA Today - Latest News: “community outrage that has now delayed the installation of high-voltage power lines to its West Footscray M3 data centre.”
  3. Partly supportedNextDC shares fell 40%.WA Today - Latest News: “The stock plunged more than 40 per cent on Wednesday”
  4. SupportedThe share-price fall triggered a sell-off across the sector.WA Today - Latest News: “And its woes have dragged on the entire sector, including US-listed Aussie player IREN.”
  5. SupportedShine Lawyers is investigating a potential class action on behalf of NextDC shareholders.WA Today - Latest News: “Shine Lawyers is already investigating a potential class action on behalf of NextDC shareholders.”
  6. SupportedNextDC cut its profit forecasts and construction spending in response to community opposition to the power-line works.WA Today - Latest News: “The shock drop was triggered by NextDC slashing its profit forecasts and construction spending in response to community outrage that has now delayed the installation of high-voltage power lines”
  7. SupportedThe local council is withholding consent until there is more community consultation.WA Today - Latest News: “the local council is “not giving its consent until more community consultation takes place”.”
  8. SupportedScroggie said NextDC would pause further land purchases and did not rule out sales.WA Today - Latest News: “But NextDC would also pause further land purchases and did not rule out sales.”
  9. SupportedNextDC is considering whether it can invoke force majeure provisions on customer contracts where computing power will not be delivered on time.WA Today - Latest News: “This includes considering whether it can get relief under force majeure, and other provisions, on contracts with its AI-hungry customers who will not get their computer power delivered on time.”
  10. SupportedShine Lawyers is investigating whether NextDC issued financial guidance without reasonable grounds or failed to inform investors of material impacts.WA Today - Latest News: “will focus on whether the company issued financial guidance that lacked reasonable grounds, and/or whether the company failed to inform investors of material impacts after issuing its financial guidance.”

Zotpaper

Written by Harper Lane on the Business & markets desk. Claims checked by Ines Fairley, verification. Edited by Angus Burke, chief sub.

1 source9 of 10 claims matched to a sourcefirst published
Meet the newsroomHow we workSubscribe