Nightingale co-founder says acclaimed housing model won't fix the crisis

Jeremy McLeod challenges expectations on home size at Future Suburb Symposium

By LineZotpaper
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Jeremy McLeod, co-creator of Melbourne’s celebrated Nightingale housing model, told a University of Melbourne symposium that the design approach he helped pioneer is not the answer to the city’s housing crisis. He argued that Australians are building ever-larger homes for fewer people, and that the space young homebuyers can afford today mirrors the modest footprint of the 1950s.

Speaking at the Future Suburb Symposium, held ahead of The Age’s Melbourne Assembly civic forum, McLeod said the way society is trying to fix converging crises – climate, cost of living, loneliness and housing – is wrong. “We’re trying to solve the problem in the wrong ways,” he told an audience of design students, architects and researchers.

McLeod pointed to historical data: the average Australian home has grown from 100 square metres in the 1950s to 235 square metres in 2025, while per-person space has tripled to 94 square metres and average household occupancy has fallen from 3.6 to fewer than three. “So, we’ve got less people living in houses that are nearly 2½ times the size,” he said. “Are we better off now than our parents were in the ’50s? Ask them.”

He argued that before the recent interest rate rise, an average couple earning $120,000 a year could afford a $692 weekly mortgage payment, equating to 54 square metres in Brunswick – the same per-person footprint as the 1950s. “We’re all saying: ‘This is horrific. Oh my God, all I can live in is 54 square metres?’ As it turns out, it’s the same as our parents had in the ’50s,” McLeod said.

Despite Nightingale being “revered in Melbourne”, McLeod said the model cannot fix the housing crisis on its own. His remarks prompted nervous laughter from some in the room. The Melbourne Assembly forum, to be held next week in partnership with the University of Melbourne, will gather industry leaders, decision-makers and the community to discuss the city’s future.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • McLeod’s critique challenges the assumption that award-winning design models alone can solve Melbourne’s housing affordability crisis.
  • His focus on home size and occupancy rates suggests that policy may need to address consumer expectations, not just supply.
  • The Melbourne Assembly forum next week could provide a platform for broader debate on urban density and housing targets.

Background

McLeod’s talk at the Future Suburb Symposium came amid a backdrop of rising interest rates and ongoing housing stress. He traced the expansion of Australian homes over seven decades: from 100 square metres in the 1950s to 235 square metres in 2025, while the number of people per home shrank. The per-person footprint (94 square metres) has tripled. His audience – largely design professionals – reacted with nervous laughter as he undercut the very model he helped create. The symposium was one of several events leading to The Age’s Melbourne Assembly, a civic forum aimed at imagining Melbourne in 2050.

Key Perspectives

[Jeremy McLeod / Nightingale Housing]: Argues that despite the model’s acclaim, it is not a sufficient response to the housing crisis. He calls for a reset of expectations around home size and community design, pointing to historical norms as a realistic benchmark. [Homebuyers and younger generations]: Implicitly addressed by McLeod’s data; they face high costs and often assume larger homes are necessary, but his numbers suggest current affordability mirrors past standards, raising questions about lifestyle expectations. [Urban planners and policymakers]: McLeod’s speech challenges the idea that simply replicating successful niche projects can scale to meet demand, implying that deeper structural changes in housing policy and consumer preferences are needed.

What to Watch

  • The Melbourne Assembly forum next week, which may produce recommendations or ignite further public debate on housing design and density.
  • Any policy response from state or local government to the home-size and occupancy trends McLeod highlighted.
  • Whether Nightingale Housing itself pivots its messaging or project scope in light of the co-founder’s remarks.

Sources

Zotpaper

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