Plant resilience offers hope for climate change survival, scientists say

Adaptations that helped flora survive the 'Great Dying' may bolster them against modern global warming

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About 251 million years ago, volcanic eruptions triggered the Permian-Triassic mass extinction, known as the 'Great Dying,' which wiped out more than 90% of ocean species and 70% of land-dwelling ones. But some plants survived, and their resilience may hold lessons for today's climate crisis, researchers say.

The 'Great Dying' was caused by the Siberian Traps in Russia, which spewed carbon dioxide into the atmosphere for about a million years, spiking equatorial temperatures and acidifying the oceans. Yet a refuge of pollen-producing plants in what is now China avoided that fate, and research suggests similar oases existed elsewhere, indicating that plants may have been better able to weather catastrophic climate change than other organisms.

"Plants do indeed sometimes have a lot of resilience because they can't move individually, and even as a population, they're not very good at moving," Chris Thomas, an ecologist and evolutionary biologist at the University of York, told Live Science. As a result, many plants have evolved mechanisms to survive in place despite difficult conditions, he said.

One key adaptation is developmental plasticity. Unlike most animals, plants have indeterminate growth and modular body plans, allowing them to regenerate limbs that can adapt to current conditions. "If we lost an arm, it would be gone forever. But on plants, if you cut off a branch, they can sprout new ones and those new ones can then receive signals from the current environment instead of being stuck with sort of developmental programs from the past environment," Amy Angert, a botanist at the University of British Columbia, told Live Science. For example, resprouts on holm oak trees cope better with drought, and many species resprout after fire, like plants in South Africa's Cape Floristic Region, which depend on fire.

Plants also store seeds underground. Almost 350,000 plant species produce seeds, which can remain dormant in the soil for long periods. "Seeds can live essentially in stasis in the soil," Daniel Anstett, an evolutionary ecologist at Cornell University, told Live Science. This seed bank acts as a reservoir of genetic diversity, allowing populations to reanimate when conditions improve.

Rapid evolution can also help. In a study published in the journal Science, researchers including Angert and Anstett showed that scarlet monkey flower populations in the U.S. and Mexico rapidly evolved to survive prolonged drought between 2010 and 2018. By sequencing their genomes, they could predict which populations would survive based on genetic diversity. Anstett believes this could hold true for other organisms.

Flexible photosynthesis may have been crucial during the Permian-Triassic extinction. Zhen Xu, a paleobotanist at the University of Leeds, thinks CAM photosynthesis, which allows plants to regulate water loss more efficiently, allowed some species to survive then and could become increasingly important today.

While these adaptations offer hope, scientists caution that the speed of modern climate change may outpace many plants' ability to adapt. "Plants do indeed sometimes have a lot of resilience," Thomas said, but the extreme pace of current warming poses a serious challenge.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • Plants form the foundation of terrestrial ecosystems and agriculture, so their survival directly affects food security and biodiversity.
  • Understanding natural resilience mechanisms can inform conservation strategies, seed-banking efforts, and breeding programmes for climate-resilient crops.
  • The rate of current global warming may exceed the adaptive capacity of many species, making it critical to identify which traits confer the best chances of survival.

Background

The Permian-Triassic mass extinction (the 'Great Dying') occurred around 251 million years ago after volcanic eruptions in Siberia released vast amounts of carbon dioxide, causing extreme warming, ocean acidification, and oxygen depletion. More than 90% of marine species and 70% of terrestrial species perished. Yet some plant groups survived, and scientists have linked their survival to particular adaptations now being studied in the context of modern climate change.

Key Perspectives

Paleobotanists: Zhen Xu of the University of Leeds suggests that flexible photosynthesis, such as CAM metabolism, was a key survival trait during past mass extinctions and could become increasingly important as global temperatures rise. Evolutionary ecologists: Daniel Anstett and Amy Angert highlight rapid evolution and seed banks as reservoirs of genetic diversity that allow adaptation to changing environments, but note that these mechanisms depend on sufficient genetic variation and may not work for all species. Ecologists: Chris Thomas of the University of York emphasises that plants have evolved resilience strategies, but warns that the unprecedented speed of modern climate change may push some beyond their limits.

What to Watch

  • Monitoring of plant genetic diversity in populations under drought stress to see if rapid evolution occurs.
  • The rate of global temperature increase relative to plant adaptation rates, especially in vulnerable ecosystems.
  • Expansion of seed banks and assisted migration projects to help species cope with changing climates.

Sources

Checked

12 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 9 supported.

Show each claim
  1. Partly supportedPlant resilience offers hope for survival under climate change, scientists say.Latest from Live Science: “Experts told Live Science that these adaptations — along with a hefty dose of luck — will now decide the difference between survival and extinction.”
  2. SupportedAdaptations that helped plants survive the Great Dying may help them against modern global warming.Latest from Live Science: “The same holds true for modern-day species facing a changing climate and potential extinction.”
  3. SupportedThe extinction occurred about 251 million years ago.Latest from Live Science: “About 251 million years ago, volcanic eruptions wiped out most life on Earth.”
  4. SupportedThe extinction wiped out more than 90% of ocean species.Latest from Live Science: “it ultimately destroyed more than 90% of ocean life”
  5. SupportedThe extinction wiped out 70% of land-dwelling species.Latest from Live Science: “and 70% of terrestrial species.”
  6. SupportedThomas said, “Plants do indeed sometimes have a lot of resilience because they can't move individually, and even as a population, they're not very good at moving.”Latest from Live Science: ““Plants do indeed sometimes have a lot of resilience because they can't move individually, and even as a population, they're not very good at moving,” Chris Thomas”
  7. SupportedA refuge of pollen-producing plants in what is now China avoided the extinction.Latest from Live Science: “in a corner of what is now China, a refuge of pollen-producing plants avoided that fate”
  8. Partly supportedPlants have indeterminate growth and modular body plans, unlike most animals.Latest from Live Science: ““Many plants have what we call indeterminate growth and modular body plans,” Amy Angert”
  9. SupportedAngert said, “If we lost an arm, it would be gone forever. But on plants, if you cut off a branch, they can sprout new ones and those new ones can then receive signals from the current environment instead of being stuck with sort of developmental programs from the past environment.”Latest from Live Science: ““If we lost an arm, it would be gone forever. But on plants, if you cut off a branch, they can sprout new ones and those new ones can then receive signals from the current environment instead of being stuck with sort of developmental programs from the past environment.””
  10. SupportedAlmost 350,000 plant species produce seeds.Latest from Live Science: “Almost 350,000 plant species produce seeds.”
  11. SupportedScarlet monkey flower populations in the U.S. and Mexico rapidly evolved to survive prolonged drought between 2010 and 2018.Latest from Live Science: “researchers, including Angert and Anstett, showed rapid evolution saved scarlet monkey flower (Erythranthe cardinalis) populations from prolonged drought in the U.S. and Mexico between 2010 and 2018.”
  12. Not in the sourcesScientists caution that modern climate change may outpace many plants’ ability to adapt.

Zotpaper

Written by Harper Lane on the Science desk. Claims checked by Ines Fairley, verification. Edited by Angus Burke, chief sub.

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