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Smaller regional towns post steepest rent rises in NSW and Victoria

Domain report shows growth spreading beyond lifestyle destinations as the regional NSW median house rent reaches $640 a week

By LineZotpaper
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Smaller regional towns recorded the steepest rent increases in NSW and Victoria over the year to September, according to the Domain Rent Report, with the median asking rent for a house in regional NSW reaching $640 a week and double-digit rises in shires such as Berrigan and Glenelg.

Rents are higher than a year ago across almost all areas of regional NSW, led by a spike in smaller towns as priced-out tenants look further afield. A strong agricultural season and an inflow of new residents in some towns have also driven demand, while few homes are available.

The median asking rent for a house in regional NSW reached $640 a week in the September quarter, up 4.9 per cent or $30 a week on a year earlier. The steepest rise was in the Berrigan Shire in the Riverina, west of Albury, where asking rents climbed 18.5 per cent to a median $480 a week, followed by Bellingen near Coffs Harbour, up 18.2 per cent to $650. Liverpool Plains Shire outside Tamworth rose 17.5 per cent to $470, and Moree Plains Shire was up 15.4 per cent to $450.

In Victoria, Glenelg Shire, in the far south-west near Portland and about 350 kilometres west of Melbourne, recorded the largest annual growth at 17.8 per cent, with weekly asking rents jumping from $450 to $530. Mount Alexander, covering Castlemaine, Campbells Creek, Harcourt and Maldon, was second, up 15 per cent to $575, followed by Northern Grampians (10.3 per cent), Campaspe (10 per cent) and Golden Plains (10 per cent). In contrast, lifestyle locations such as Alpine, Latrobe, Mansfield and Indigo, home to Beechworth, held steady over the year.

Domain chief residential economist Dr Nicola Powell said the growth had shifted from major lifestyle destinations to smaller regional markets. Rents held steady across regional NSW over the three months to September, a seasonally weaker time for the rental market ahead of summer.

"Affordability constraints are becoming a lot more pressing," she said. "When you look at rents they've risen substantially over the past five years and that just leaves less room for further rapid increases."

Powell said rental markets in many areas were affected by housing supply and the strength of the local economy, spanning agricultural areas where demand from extra workers placed pressure on a small housing stock and lifestyle areas still attracting retirees and sea-changers. In Victoria, an exodus of investors was reducing already limited rental stock.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • Double-digit rent increases in smaller regional towns are squeezing tenants who have already been priced out of capital cities.
  • The data shows growth spreading into agricultural and inland areas, not just coastal lifestyle markets.
  • Affordability constraints are slowing the pace of rises, but supply shortages and investor exits remain unresolved, leaving rents at record levels.

Background

Regional rental markets across Australia have tightened sharply in recent years as demand has shifted away from the capital cities and housing supply has failed to keep pace. The Domain Rent Report, which tracks median asking rents in local government areas, shows growth has now moved beyond well-known tree-change and sea-change destinations into smaller service and agricultural towns. The September quarter figures cover the year to September 2026.

Key Perspectives

Renters in regional towns: Face higher weekly costs and scarce options, with demand from seasonal agricultural workers and new residents competing for a small housing stock. Economists: See affordability constraints slowing further rises, with growth increasingly driven by local supply and economic conditions rather than broad market trends. Housing supply and investors: In Victoria, the exit of investors has reduced rental stock, and the availability of homes remains the central factor determining whether rents keep climbing.

What to Watch

  • Whether the pace of rent growth continues to slow through the summer season, which typically brings stronger rental demand.
  • Rent movements in the smaller shires identified in the report, which may signal whether pressure is still spreading.
  • Any policy or market response to investor exits and the shortage of rental housing in regional areas.

Sources

Zotpaper

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