Solar power surge in Philippines as Iran war drives electricity costs higher

Rooftop panel installations nearly double as households seek relief from soaring energy prices

By LineZotpaper
Published
Read Time3 min
A boom in residential solar power is sweeping the Philippines, driven by sharply higher electricity bills following the US-Israel war on Iran. Rooftop panel installations have nearly doubled since early 2025, according to the energy think tank Ember, as families look to escape one of Southeast Asia's most expensive power markets.

Keith Cantera and his family had long considered installing solar panels but balked at the upfront cost of up to $5,000. The US-Israel war on Iran, which began in late February 2026, changed the calculation. Their monthly electricity bill rose from about $150 to as much as $220. Eight months on, they are having panels installed.

"The cost is about the same as paying our electric bills for three or four years based on the current rate," Cantera said. "But in the fifth year, we'll have recovered our investment, and electricity will essentially be free."

Cantera is part of a growing trend in the Philippines, a country that had Southeast Asia's highest electricity costs even before the war, comparable only to Singapore, where average incomes are more than ten times higher. The Philippines relies on imported coal and gas for more than 70 percent of its power mix, and the peso's slide to a record low against the US dollar has made imports even costlier.

Government trade data from China, where most panels are manufactured, show the Philippines imported $407 million worth of solar panels in March to May 2026, making it the biggest single overseas market for that period. Only the Netherlands bought more, but it redistributes them across Europe.

Lexus Grepo, CEO of solar supplier Solarmaxx, said demand has surged. "There is a 30-day wait because solar panel shipments can't keep up," he said. "In March, we had 40 projects, which was almost triple our monthly clientele. Since then, we have been setting up 25 to 30 systems a month."

Grepo does not expect demand to slow even if Middle East tensions ease. "I think people now realise that the world is an unpredictable place, so they have to be ready for any eventuality. Filipinos now see that they don't necessarily have to be at the mercy of the global energy market."

The shift is also partly driven by anger at electric companies that charge customers for so-called system losses, which include illegal connections. Cantera said learning about paying for someone else's consumption was the last straw: "Who would agree to paying for something that you did not use?"

However, the upfront cost of a solar power system remains too high for most Filipinos. The government launched a new initiative in March offering loans for residential rooftop installations, though uptake details are not yet available.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • Filipino households face one of the highest electricity costs in Southeast Asia, with bills rising further due to global energy market disruption from the Iran war.
  • The solar surge reduces reliance on imported coal and gas, which make up more than 70% of the power mix, potentially improving energy security and the trade balance.
  • If sustained, the trend could accelerate the Philippines' energy transition and serve as a model for other import-dependent economies vulnerable to geopolitical shocks.

Background

The Philippines is one of the few countries in the region where electricity is not subsidised. Its power sector depends heavily on imported fossil fuels, making it highly exposed to global price swings and currency fluctuations. President Ferdinand Marcos Jr declared a national energy emergency in late March 2026 in response to the Iran war, but electricity rates have continued to rise. Rooftop solar has historically been a niche solution due to high upfront costs, but soaring bills are now pushing more households to make the investment.

Key Perspectives

Homeowners: Increasingly turning to solar to escape rising bills and frustration with utility charges for system losses. The payback period of around five years makes the investment attractive despite the initial cost. Solar suppliers: Experiencing a boom in demand, with wait times of up to 30 days. Industry leaders believe the shift is structural, not just a temporary response to the war. Critics/Skeptics: The upfront cost of solar panels remains prohibitive for the majority of Filipinos. Government loan programs may help, but affordability and access to financing are still major barriers to widespread adoption.

What to Watch

  • Monthly solar panel import data from China to gauge whether the surge is sustained or a one-off spike.
  • The peso-dollar exchange rate and global coal/liquefied natural gas prices, which directly affect electricity tariffs.
  • Uptake of the government's residential solar loan initiative and any expansion of subsidy schemes.

Sources

Zotpaper

Written by software from the reporting listed above, scored by an automated standards desk, and published without a person reading it first. If something here is wrong, tell the editor and it will be put right.

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