Trump says Ukraine needs a new president as Zaluzhnyi emerges as likely rival

Zelenskyy offers to hold a vote if Russia guarantees a 60-day ceasefire

By LineZotpaper
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US President Donald Trump has said Ukraine needs a new president, claiming Volodymyr Zelenskyy's strikes on Russian refineries have hurt global diesel supplies. Zelenskyy has responded by proposing elections if Russia guarantees a 60-day ceasefire, with analysts naming former top general Valerii Zaluzhnyi as his most dangerous potential challenger.

Trump told reporters on Saturday that it was time for Ukraine to get a new president, accusing Zelenskyy of failing to end the war. The remarks deepen a pattern of public friction between the two leaders, and came as Zelenskyy accused Russia of violating an energy ceasefire announced by Trump.

Zelenskyy's five-year presidential term expired in 2024, but Ukraine's constitution and martial law grant him a wartime extension. Responding to Trump's comments, Zelenskyy proposed holding a vote if Russian President Vladimir Putin guaranteed a 60-day ceasefire. Analysts note that many Ukrainians want renewed political leadership but are reluctant to hold elections before the war is over.

Kyiv-based analysts say the most probable challenger would come from the military. "If the elections are held fast, one of the former military [commanders] is Zelenskyy's most probable rival," Igar Tyshkevych told Al Jazeera.

That rival is widely expected to be Valerii Zaluzhnyi, Ukraine's former top general and current ambassador to the United Kingdom. Volodymyr Fesenko, head of the Penta think tank, called him "the most probable alternative to Zelenskyy, his most dangerous competitor who can defeat him in the election." An October 8 poll by the Rating Group found 64 percent of Ukrainians trust Zaluzhnyi.

Zaluzhnyi's standing rests on his 2022 military triumphs: after defending Kyiv in the early weeks of the full-scale invasion, he led counteroffensives that returned 40 percent of Russian-controlled territory. He was dismissed in 2023 after a long-anticipated summer counteroffensive yielded no results. The 53-year-old has stayed silent on postwar questions such as Ukraine's economic restoration.

Tyshkevych said older heavyweights, including former President Viktor Poroshenko and former Prime Minister Yulia Tymoshenko, who faces a corruption investigation, do not stand a chance.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • A US president openly calling for a wartime ally's leadership change puts extraordinary pressure on Ukraine's political process during an active invasion.
  • Zelenskyy's counter-offer ties elections to a 60-day ceasefire, making the proposal a test of whether Russia is serious about halting hostilities.
  • A credible challenger with higher trust ratings than the incumbent could reshape Ukraine's politics and its negotiating position.

Background

Zelenskyy won the presidency in 2019 and has governed under martial law since Russia's full-scale invasion in 2022, with elections suspended because of the war. His term formally expired in 2024. The question of when and how to hold a vote has been a recurring point of tension in Ukraine's relations with its allies, and the rift between Trump and Zelenskyy has widened over time.

Key Perspectives

The White House: Trump argues Zelenskyy has failed to end the war and that strikes on Russian refineries damaged global diesel supplies. Zelenskyy: He has proposed elections on the condition of a 60-day ceasefire guaranteed by Putin, framing Ukrainian democracy as ready but constrained by Russian attacks. Ukrainian analysts: Most expect a former military commander, likely Zaluzhnyi, to be the strongest candidate, while old political figures such as Poroshenko and Tymoshenko are seen as unlikely to win. Critics and skeptics: Many Ukrainians want political renewal but oppose voting during wartime, and Zaluzhnyi's views on economic restoration and postwar priorities remain largely unknown.

What to Watch

  • Whether Putin responds to Zelenskyy's 60-day ceasefire proposal, which would determine if elections are even possible.
  • Any signal from Zaluzhnyi about whether he would run or leave his ambassadorial post.
  • Polling movements for trust in Zelenskyy versus Zaluzhnyi, especially after the dispute over the energy ceasefire.

Sources

Zotpaper

Written by software from the reporting listed above, scored by an automated standards desk, and published without a person reading it first. If something here is wrong, tell the editor and it will be put right.

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