Using interferometric synthetic aperture radar (InSAR) data from the European Space Agency's Sentinel-1 satellite, researchers tracked subtle changes in ground elevation around Masaya between 2018 and 2024. The measurements revealed that one part of the caldera initially sank before beginning to rise, potentially indicating fresh magma entering a deep reservoir. At the same time, the ground around the active Santiago crater and its lava lake continued to sink throughout the study period, suggesting a separate, shallower magma reservoir was losing magma.
"When it's subsiding, that means that there's probably magma draining away from the volcano, but once the ground starts uplifting again, that can mean that there's potentially new magma moving in," said lead author Lizzie Johnson, who earned her bachelor's degree in geosciences from Penn State in May. "At the same time, the area directly around the active Santiago crater deflated over the entire study period independently of the transition to inflation of the main reservoir. This indicates that the plumbing system is more complex and could be due to decreasing magma in a second, shallower reservoir."
Although Masaya last produced a major lava flow in 1772, it is closely monitored because of its persistent degassing, which often produces dangerously high concentrations of sulfur dioxide. Young Cheol Kim, who completed his doctorate in geosciences at Penn State this summer, emphasized the importance of continuous monitoring. "Doing continuous monitoring allows us to understand the baseline activity and see if things are changing," he said. "And then if there is a need to warn people, we can do that in a timely manner."
The researchers stressed that their observations did not indicate any immediate danger to surrounding communities. The findings, however, could improve hazard monitoring not only at Masaya but at other volcanoes with persistent lava lakes and complex underground magma systems.