The IPPR thinktank’s analysis, released on Thursday, is the latest attempt to quantify the trade loss inflicted by post-Brexit barriers. It calculates that many companies have simply given up selling goods to the EU or have set up subsidiaries inside the bloc to avoid the extra administration costs imposed by mismatched testing standards.
The manufacturing sectors have been hit hardest. Motor vehicle and parts exports would have been between £2.48bn and £3.42bn higher each year without the current friction, the report found. Electronic exports could have been between £1.17bn and £1.67bn higher, while pharmaceutical exports would have seen an estimated annual uplift of between £740m and £820m.
In total, the lost trade amounts to roughly 0.18% of UK national income, the IPPR said. The thinktank called for a renewed push to negotiate a mutual recognition agreement with Brussels, arguing that the current patchwork of rules imposes a disproportionate burden on smaller firms that lack the resources to establish EU subsidiaries.