Victorian youth crime program fails to reduce offending, auditor-general finds

Two-thirds of participants offended within six months of starting the $40 million program, report says

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A damning report from Victoria's Auditor-General has found no evidence that the state government's $40 million Youth Crime Prevention Program reduces youth offending, with about two-thirds of participants reoffending within six months of joining the initiative.

The Victorian Auditor-General's Office (VAGO) report, tabled in state parliament on Wednesday, revealed that since 2016 the government has allocated around $40 million to organisations providing mentoring and case management to at-risk young people. Despite this investment, the number of alleged youth offender incidents has climbed to a record level, from 17,115 in 2022 to 23,893 last year. The report also found it was unclear whether the program was reaching its intended recipients, noting that the proportion of participants who had offended or were alleged to have offended varied widely between community organisations, from 18 per cent to 92 per cent.

Opposition Leader Jess Wilson seized on the findings, stating: "We've had another auditor-general's report that demonstrates that this Labor government is wasting taxpayer money while seeing crime rates skyrocket in this state." Crime Prevention Minister Paul Edbrooke responded that youth offending rates had been declining in recent times and that a Violence Reduction Unit was established in late 2025. "VAGO confirms what we already know: the nature of youth offending is changing, which is why we've already given Victoria Police the powers they need to tackle serious and repeat offending," he said.

Andrew Bruun from Youth Support and Advocacy Service, which participates in the program, told the ABC that the organisation had seen promising results, with 50 per cent of their clients ceasing offending after engagement. He added that the report's finding that 30 per cent of participants do not offend could represent a net improvement in community safety if those individuals were previously involved in serious, high-volume offending. The VAGO report's recommendations, accepted by the justice department, include minimum participant data and record-keeping requirements to support eligibility decisions.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The report questions the effectiveness of a $40 million taxpayer-funded program at a time when youth offending is reaching record levels in Victoria.
  • With a state election looming, youth crime has become a major political issue, and the report provides ammunition for both sides of debate.
  • The findings raise broader questions about how government programs measure success and whether funds could be better directed.

Background

The Youth Crime Prevention Program was launched in 2016 to provide mentoring and case management to at-risk young people as an alternative to the justice system. Over the past decade, Victoria has seen a steady rise in youth offending, with a small cohort of repeat offenders driving much of the increase. The program has operated largely without rigorous outcome evaluation until this VAGO audit.

Key Perspectives

Government (Minister Paul Edbrooke): Maintains that the nature of youth offending is changing and that the government has already responded with new police powers and a Violence Reduction Unit. Accepts the report's recommendations for better data collection. Opposition (Jess Wilson): Uses the report to argue that the Labor government is wasting money while crime worsens, positioning tough-on-crime policies as a key election platform. Service Providers (Andrew Bruun, YSAS): Defend the program's value, citing positive outcomes for their clients and arguing that the report's findings may underestimate the program's impact on the most serious offenders.

What to Watch

  • Implementation of the VAGO recommendations on participant data and record-keeping by the justice department.
  • How the issue of youth crime features in the upcoming Victorian state election campaign.
  • Any changes to program design or funding allocations in response to the report.

Sources

Zotpaper

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