Large parts of eastern Australia were put on alert for severe thunderstorms on Sunday afternoon, with the Bureau of Meteorology reporting a broad line of storms had already swept through western New South Wales. Eight flood warnings were in place across southern Queensland after days of torrential rain.
Severe thunderstorms likely to bring hail, damaging winds, flash flooding and power outages were forecast over a huge area, including southern Queensland, western NSW, the ACT and eastern Victoria. Wind gusts of up to 100km/h were recorded in the central west of NSW around midday on Sunday.
Bureau meteorologist David Crock said the system was "unusually large" and explained that an area of high pressure had been sitting over the Tasman Sea for the past 10 days, blocking weather fronts and bringing storms and rains to southern Queensland. "Eventually you get a strong enough system that pushes that blocking pattern away and that typically brings severe weather with it," he said.
A front of cooler air was moving from the west on Sunday afternoon, dragging in tropical moisture from the north and creating storm conditions. Storm activity was likely to continue through Sunday evening and into Monday in northern NSW and southern Queensland. Mr Crock said Monday is expected to be the last big bang of the system, which will be a great relief for those in south-east Queensland.
Southern parts of Queensland had been through a weather whiplash in the past week. The Mary River downstream of Gympie was forecast to reach major flood levels in Tiaro. After a very dry September, southern parts of the state had seen October rainfall multiple times their average for the month, with areas around the Sunshine Coast seeing between 200mm and 400mm of rain in the past week.
The bureau's current long-range forecast for November to January suggests rainfall is likely to be above average over most of the country except the far north and much of Tasmania. November is likely to be warmer than usual for the southern half of the continent, with night-time temperatures in particular forecast to be likely well above average. Global heating has seen Australia warm by about 1.5C since 1910, the bureau's long-term climate data shows.
