The analysis, reported by the Indo-Pacific Defense Forum, compared the behaviour of 200 research vessels from 47 nations, including the United States and Russia. It found that Chinese vessels spent a "statistically significant larger share of time" near critical infrastructure and describes the activity as "persistent and disproportionate."
The report suggests China "may be leveraging its research fleet for underwater data collection that may aid... analysis of terrain for sabotage or submarine operations," noting that civilian research vessels provide states with "plausible deniability" for such work.
CSIS cites a ship from the Xiang Yang Hong research fleet which, between July and October 2024, spent time near three undersea cables connecting the United States with Australia, Indonesia, Singapore, Guam and other territories. The vessel moved in a "lawnmower" pattern, which the report says is associated with surveying to create accurate seafloor maps. While the ships are not part of China's navy, the data they collect could serve China in a future conflict, the think tank argues.
CSIS describes these as "gray zone research activities," continuing as Beijing asserts territorial claims in the South China Sea against the Philippines and Vietnam, and maintains its claim over Taiwan, which Beijing considers a breakaway province.
The findings follow last week's report in The Telegraph that recorded 500 incidents of Russian monitoring near undersea cables over the past five years. Iran has also threatened to attack undersea cables in the Strait of Hormuz should conflict with the United States erupt again.