Wright told CNBC on Tuesday that the suspension of US sanctions on Russian diesel exports, enacted earlier this month, was intended to encourage Russia to conclude its invasion of Ukraine. "It's trying to put a carrot in front of Russia," he said. The first ship carrying Russian diesel under the deal, the Russian-flagged tanker Talisman, is expected to arrive on the US East Coast on November 9, according to the tracking platform MarineTraffic. Another tanker, the Leruo, has departed Russia for the Atlantic Coast without explicitly declaring the US as its destination. Wright said more tankers could 'quite possibly' set sail under the waiver.
President Donald Trump reached the agreement with President Vladimir Putin for Russia to export 800,000 metric tons of diesel in October and November, followed by another million tons. The deal comes as Trump faces political pressure to reduce surging diesel prices ahead of the US midterm elections next Tuesday. Fuel prices have risen sharply since the US and Israel attacked Iran on February 28.
Analysts say the volumes involved are unlikely to materially lower prices because the shipments are small relative to global demand of around 28 million barrels per day. The first tranche of 300,000 metric tons equates to about 75,000 barrels per day if spread over a month, and the second of 500,000 metric tons equals about 124,000 barrels per day.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has sharply criticised the deal. Ukraine has struck Russian refineries this year in an effort to cut Kremlin revenue from energy exports and curtail Moscow's ability to wage war. Those attacks forced Russia to impose a diesel export ban in July, which the Kremlin has partially lifted to fulfil the Trump-Putin agreement. Several Republican senators also condemned the deal, joining Democratic colleagues in a letter that called it "a gift to our adversary and a betrayal of our Allies."