The US Food and Drug Administration said Friday that three more patches for treating menopause will no longer carry black-box warnings about cardiovascular disease, breast cancer and dementia, a decision it made without convening an advisory committee and with few details on the scientific basis offered at a press briefing.
The change follows the removal of black-box warnings from six menopause treatments in February, and comes as patients across the US struggle with shortages of the patches. When journalists asked for the evidence behind the decision, officials said it could be provided later.
The decision drew criticism from Reshma Ramachandran, an assistant professor and health services researcher at Yale School of Medicine. "I have been concerned by the lack of transparency behind these decisions," she said. "The blanket removal of black-box warnings regarding risks of breast cancer and cardiovascular disease without clear justification can be misleading for patients and underplays real potential harms." She pointed to particular risks for patients with histories of hormone-sensitive cancers.
Officials highlighted the shortages patients are facing. Dorothy Fink, deputy director of the National Institute of Child Health and Human Development, said: “We are working with manufacturers to strengthen supply and improve access.” Manufacturing of estrogen patches has doubled over the past year, she said. Sarah Ibrahim, deputy center director for regulatory programs at the FDA's Center for Drug Evaluation and Research, acknowledged the strain on patients. “We know that for some patients, these past months have been frustrating,” she said, adding that after the February label change, demand for estradiol patches “increased significantly, and patients in many areas found it difficult to get their usual patches at their usual pharmacy”. “And I want you to know that we hear you.”
Ibrahim said the black-box warnings "painted a broad and, in some cases, overstated pictures of risk". "Updated evidence shows that for many healthy women under 60 and within 10 years of menopause onset, the risk-benefit profile looks meaningfully different than older warnings conveyed."
Estradiol patches are usually considered lower risk than synthetic oral medications because they pass into the bloodstream without first going to the liver, although research shows the risks are higher with high doses. The FDA is also working to change the labels of the remaining menopause hormone therapy products, Ibrahim said, and is exploring whether vaginal estrogen products could be offered over the counter, according to an agency press release on Friday.
Menopause experts have said the decision not to convene advisers or include research sets a troubling precedent, and that officials in the Trump administration have made sweeping and "data-free" claims about the benefits of the treatments, including improvements in longevity that research does not support.
The FDA bypassed its advisory committees last November when it announced it would remove the warnings; at the time, a spokesperson said the committees are “bureaucratic, long, often conflicted, and very expensive”. Instead, the agency convened a panel in July 2025 of doctors and influencers, all vocal proponents of menopause hormone therapy and several with conflicts of interest with practices that market and sell it, Ramachandran said. Ramachandran said public testimony was not allowed at the meeting, including from the lead investigator of the Women's Health Initiative, whose research formed the recommendations for the therapy and who was in the audience. After audience members voiced concern, the FDA opened a docket for public comment.
Analysis
Why This Matters
- The warnings cover serious potential harms: cardiovascular disease, breast cancer and dementia. Removing them without published justification changes what patients are told when deciding whether to start treatment.
- The decision is tied to a supply problem: demand for estradiol patches rose sharply after February's label change, and patients in many areas could not get their usual patches.
- The FDA says it is working on labels for the remaining menopause hormone therapy products and is exploring over-the-counter vaginal estrogen, so the policy could extend further.
Background
The black-box warnings stem from research that formed the recommendations for menopause hormone therapy, most prominently the Women's Health Initiative, whose lead investigator was in the audience but not allowed to testify at the FDA's July 2025 panel. Estrogen patches have generally been considered lower risk than synthetic oral drugs because they enter the bloodstream without first passing through the liver. The current controversy sits within a broader administration push to move quickly: the FDA bypassed its advisory committees last November, calling them costly and bureaucratic, and convened a panel of therapy proponents instead.
Key Perspectives
FDA officials: say the old warnings overstated risk and that updated evidence shows a meaningfully different risk-benefit profile for many healthy women under 60 and within 10 years of menopause onset; they are working with manufacturers to strengthen supply and improve access.
Reshma Ramachandran and menopause experts: say the blanket removals lack transparency and clear justification, can mislead patients and underplay real potential harms, and set a troubling precedent by skipping adviser review and research.
What to Watch
- Whether the FDA releases the evidence behind the decision, which officials said could be provided later.
- The next round of label changes: the FDA says it is working on the remaining menopause hormone therapy products.
- Whether patch shortages ease as manufacturing, which officials say has doubled in the past year, catches up with demand, and whether the over-the-counter vaginal estrogen proposal advances.
Checked
12 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 12 supported.
Show each claim
- SupportedThe FDA said three more menopause patches will no longer carry black-box warnings about cardiovascular disease, breast cancer and dementia.World news | The Guardian: “Three more patches for treating menopause will no longer carry black-box warnings about cardiovascular disease, breast cancer and dementia, officials at the US Food and Drug Administration (FDA) said on Friday.”
- SupportedThe FDA made the decision without convening an advisory committee.World news | The Guardian: “The FDA did not convene an advisory committee”
- SupportedThe FDA offered few details on the scientific basis for the decision at the press briefing.World news | The Guardian: “offered few details on the scientific basis for the decision in the press briefing.”
- SupportedReshma Ramachandran said she was concerned about a lack of transparency behind the decisions.World news | The Guardian: ““I have been concerned by the lack of transparency behind these decisions,” said Reshma Ramachandran”
- SupportedIbrahim said updated evidence showed a different risk-benefit profile for many healthy women under 60 and within 10 years of menopause onset than older warnings conveyed.World news | The Guardian: ““Updated evidence shows that for many healthy women under 60 and within 10 years of menopause onset, the risk-benefit profile looks meaningfully different than older warnings conveyed.””
- SupportedOfficials highlighted shortages of menopause hormone treatments as patients across the US struggled to find patches.World news | The Guardian: “as patients across the US struggle with shortages of the patches. ... Instead, officials highlighted the shortages patients are facing for menopause hormone treatments (MHT).”
- SupportedThe change followed the removal of black-box warnings from six menopause treatments in February.World news | The Guardian: “The news follows the removal of black-box warnings from six menopause treatments in February”
- SupportedWhen journalists asked for the evidence behind the decision, officials said it could be provided later.World news | The Guardian: “When journalists asked for the evidence behind this decision, officials said it could be provided later.”
- SupportedRamachandran said removing the warnings without clear justification could mislead patients and underplay potential harms.World news | The Guardian: ““The blanket removal of black-box warnings regarding risks of breast cancer and cardiovascular disease without clear justification can be misleading for patients and underplays real potential harms.””
- SupportedFink said, “We are working with manufacturers to strengthen supply and improve access.”World news | The Guardian: ““We are working with manufacturers to strengthen supply and improve access,” said Dorothy Fink”
- SupportedFink said manufacturing of estrogen patches had doubled over the past year.World news | The Guardian: “Manufacturing of estrogen patches has doubled over the past year, she said.”
- SupportedThe FDA is exploring whether vaginal estrogen products could be offered over the counter, according to an agency press release on Friday.World news | The Guardian: “The FDA is also exploring the possibility of offering vaginal estrogen products over the counter, according to an agency press release on Friday.”