Firmus Technologies pulls $7 billion IPO amid investor scepticism and AI anxiety

Sydney-based AI startup's float would have been biggest since Telstra, but concerns over valuation, founder's past and market timing derail plans

By LineZotpaper
Published
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Firmus Technologies, an AI startup founded in 2019, has pulled its planned $7 billion IPO on the Australian Stock Exchange after investors balked at the high valuation and amid broader fears of an AI bubble. The company had aimed to list at a $43.7 billion market capitalisation, which would have been the largest IPO since Telstra in 1997, but withdrew the float on Friday following a week of mounting concerns.

The Sydney-based company, founded by Oliver Curtis, Tim Rosenfield and Jonathan Levee, had planned to raise about $7 billion to build data centres across Australia, Singapore, Malaysia and Indonesia. The float was backed by global AI giant Nvidia and investment firm Blackstone, with Firmus having previously said it secured $US2 billion in commitments from investors.

By Wednesday night, the IPO plans began to unravel as reports emerged that bankers were considering lowering the share price and valuation towards $30 billion. The per-share offer price, initially set at $11, had reportedly fallen to $8.25 by Thursday. That same day, Firmus withdrew from appearing at a federal parliamentary inquiry into AI as it scrambled to save the listing.

By Friday, the float was pulled.

Morningstar senior market strategist Lochlan Holloway said the company was being given a valuation similar to Woolworths while making the revenue of a start-up. "The economics look good now and the growth is very fast now, but what that looks like again in five or 10 years is the big question mark," he said.

Philip Wohl from Reliance Investment Research said the timing was wrong: "Firmus ran into a wall of AI anxiety right at the time that they had planned to list." He noted that fears of an AI bubble, combined with community and political concerns about the rapid rise of data centres, also played a part.

Another factor was Mr Curtis's past. He served a year in jail in 2016-17 for insider trading before co-founding Firmus as a bitcoin mining company in 2019.

The founders are now hoping to pursue further private funding and Firmus will attempt to list on the Nasdaq next year.

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Analysis

Why This Matters

  • The failed IPO signals weakening investor appetite for AI infrastructure companies, which have commanded enormous valuations based on future growth expectations.
  • The withdrawal is a blow to the ASX, which hoped to land its biggest listing in nearly three decades and attract more tech floats.
  • For the broader AI industry, it raises questions about whether the data centre buildout has peaked or simply needs more discipline in valuation.

Background

Firmus Technologies began as a bitcoin mining company in 2019 before pivoting to AI data centre infrastructure. The company was founded by three entrepreneurs including Oliver Curtis, a former insider trading convict. The IPO planned to raise $7 billion to fund data centres across Australia and Southeast Asia, and would have been the second largest stock float in Australian history behind Telstra's 1997 listing. The company's biggest backers included Nvidia and Blackstone.

Key Perspectives

Investors: Many felt the share price offer was overpriced and the IPO prospectus lacked sufficient detail. Some were spooked that rapid AI and data centre growth would slow. Firmus founders: They are now pursuing private funding and plan to attempt a listing on the Nasdaq next year, arguing the failure was due to market volatility. Critics: Commentators point to a broader AI anxiety, political unease about data centre expansion, and the founder's criminal record as contributing to the float's collapse.

What to Watch

  • Whether Firmus can secure private funding on favourable terms, or if the valuation must be cut further.
  • The Nasdaq listing attempt next year, and whether US investors prove more receptive.
  • The federal parliamentary inquiry into AI, which Firmus was due to appear at before withdrawing.

Sources

Zotpaper

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