GRPO Can Reward Lucky Guesses as If They Were Reasoning

The authors identify a bias in GRPO’s advantage estimator and propose SignBalance to reduce guess-like behavior while retaining performance on open-answer mathematics.

Big Tech
Jiamian Wang · Samyadeep Basu · Koustava Goswami · Tong Yu · Zhiqiang Tao

Rochester Institute of Technology · Adobe Research

Research Digest··2 min read

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GRPO's advantage estimator rewards guessed correct answers, and SIGNBALANCE fixes this by decoupling magnitude from group statistics.

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(GRPO) assigns each rollout an advantage magnitude based on within-group reward statistics. The authors show that this gives high magnitude to correct answers even when they are guessed, especially in bounded-answer tasks, open-answer tasks with small answer sets, and multi-turn search agents. They propose SIGNBALANCE, which uses a global scale and per-class rescaling to remove the spurious component from the advantage. Experiments show that SIGNBALANCE matches GRPO on open-answer math and improves on bounded-answer math and search agents.

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