The rain has been a key factor in Perth, as feared for Fremantle's tall forward line. The Dockers are struggling to get their attack involved, with the Hawks dominating inside 50 marks and tackles. At quarter time, Hawthorn led in inside 50s (16-13), centre clearances (4-2), marks inside 50 (4-2), and tackles (17-13). Fremantle had more uncontested possessions (59-42) but could not convert. The Dockers nearly broke through early in the second quarter when Jordan Clark hit the post, leaving the margin at three straight goals at that stage. Jack Gunston made the Dockers pay after a defensive error from Nathan O'Driscoll, marking and kicking truly to extend the lead. The Hawks have set a strong defensive tone, and the Dockers face an uphill battle in the wet conditions.
Hawks Dominate Early in Wet Qualifying Final, Silence Dockers
Gunston marks and goals as rain hampers Fremantle's talls
Analysis
Why This Matters
- A win would give Hawthorn a direct path to a preliminary final, while a loss would send Fremantle into a do-or-die semi-final.
- The wet conditions heavily favour a team that can adapt its game plan, potentially deciding the outcome of this qualifying final.
- The home crowd had high hopes; early dominance by the Hawks has shifted momentum and silenced the stadium.
Background
This is an AFL qualifying final, one of two matches in the first week of the finals series. The winner advances to a preliminary final, while the loser gets a second chance in a semi-final. Fremantle earned the higher ladder position and home ground advantage at Optus Stadium. Hawthorn, known for its strong finals pedigree, entered the match as a dangerous opponent. Rain on the night has been a major factor, likely affecting both teams' ability to execute.
Key Perspectives
Hawthorn supporters: Buoyed by an early lead and dominant tackling and inside 50 entries, especially the goal from seasoned forward Jack Gunston. Fremantle supporters: Frustrated by the rain negating their tall forwards and the costly missed opportunity from Jordan Clark hitting the post. Neutral observers: The game is shaping up as a tight contest despite the margin, with both sides having periods of control but Hawthorn capitalising better.
What to Watch
- Whether Fremantle can adjust its forward structure to cope with the rain in the second half.
- Hawthorn's ability to maintain pressure and convert opportunities.
- The impact of further weather changes on the playing conditions.