A damning new report prepared for the Albanese government has found almost two-thirds of homelessness providers are turning away Australians in need, with some services handing out tents instead of accommodation as the housing crisis pushes frontline services towards collapse.
The research, titled Breaking the Firestorm and conducted by the University of NSW, reveals 91 per cent of frontline services have experienced increased demand over the past two years, while only 0.4 per cent reported a decline. Despite unprecedented pressure, official figures show just 3.9 per cent of clients who needed long-term housing received it in 2024-25.
The findings, prepared as a briefing from Homelessness Australia ahead of the government's Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook (MYEFO), expose a system so overwhelmed by soaring rents, chronic housing shortages and inadequate funding that it is increasingly unable to offer even emergency accommodation.
One representative of the homelessness sector told researchers: "We have nothing to do but give people tents and suggest somewhere sort of safe to camp. Women leaving family violence are being asked, 'do you have a lock on your car?' And if you have a lock on your car, you're considered to be safe."
More than nine in 10 providers blame deteriorating rental affordability for the surge in demand, while 86 per cent say finding permanent accommodation has become harder in the past two years. The briefing reveals 82 per cent of providers are finding it harder to secure temporary accommodation, and 95 per cent agree social housing shortages are limiting their ability to help people escape homelessness.
Homelessness Australia is demanding 34,000 new social homes annually, income support payments increased to at least $600 a week, substantially more federal funding for frontline services, and 20,000 permanent supportive housing places for people with serious mental illness and other complex needs. The Australian Council of Social Service has made a similar call to lift payments such as JobSeeker, Youth Allowance and Parenting Payment to parity with the pension and pension supplement.
Treasurer Jim Chalmers has conceded he is confronting a deteriorating fiscal outlook, with federal debt forecast to climb beyond $1.2 trillion by 2030 and cumulative budget deficits of $150.5 billion projected over five years. Rising global borrowing costs threaten to add billions more to the government's interest bill.
Homelessness Australia chief executive Kate Colvin said governments could no longer pretend the crisis could be addressed through minor changes. "There are now so many points of vulnerability in our housing and homelessness system that the cracks are starting to join. Small patch-ups just won't do the job," she said. "MYEFO is an excellent opportunity to begin a robust response and pull the fraying threads of our housing and homelessness system back together."
University of NSW researcher Andrew Clarke said the figures were the worst he had encountered. "The system is under extreme pressure," he said. "Homelessness support services are swimming upstream against an ever faster current."
A spokeswoman for Housing Minister Clare O'Neil said the government had invested $1.2 billion to support 50,000 vulnerable Australians, including more than 1000 new crisis and transitional accommodation places for women, children and young people fleeing domestic violence. "Women tell us one of the main reasons they can't leave a violent relationship is that they have nowhere safe and stable to go. That should never happen in a country like Australia," she said. "We know there's more work to do."
The government stopped short of committing additional funding to address the worsening crisis, saying future decisions would be made through the usual mid-year budget and budget processes.
Analysis
Why This Matters
- The findings show a homelessness system nearing collapse, directly affecting thousands of vulnerable Australians, including women fleeing domestic violence who are being asked if they can sleep in their cars.
- The report's release ahead of MYEFO puts pressure on the federal government to allocate significant new funding for social housing and income support at a time of deteriorating fiscal outlook.
- The crisis reflects broader housing affordability failures, with soaring rents and chronic shortages driving demand far beyond the capacity of support services.
Background
Australia has experienced a prolonged housing affordability crisis, with rents rising sharply and social housing supply failing to keep pace with population growth and need. The federal government has committed to various housing initiatives, including the Housing Australia Future Fund, but advocates argue current funding levels are insufficient to address the scale of the problem. The Mid-Year Economic and Fiscal Outlook, due to be released soon, will set out the government's updated fiscal position and spending priorities.
Key Perspectives
Homelessness Australia (Kate Colvin): "There are now so many points of vulnerability in our housing and homelessness system that the cracks are starting to join. Small patch-ups just won't do the job." She called on the government to use MYEFO to begin a robust response.
University of NSW researcher Andrew Clarke: The figures were the worst he had encountered. "The system is under extreme pressure. Homelessness support services are swimming upstream against an ever faster current."
Government (Housing Minister Clare O'Neil's spokeswoman): The government has invested $1.2 billion to support 50,000 vulnerable Australians, including new crisis accommodation for women and children fleeing domestic violence. "We know there's more work to do," she said, but no additional funding was committed.
Treasurer Jim Chalmers: Has conceded a deteriorating fiscal outlook, with federal debt projected to exceed $1.2 trillion by 2030 and rising global borrowing costs adding to interest expenses, constraining the budget.
What to Watch
- Whether the upcoming MYEFO includes new funding for social housing or income support increases as demanded by Homelessness Australia.
- Further data on rental affordability and homelessness numbers, which will indicate whether the crisis continues to deepen.
- Political responses from opposition parties and crossbench senators, which could shape the government's ability to pass any new housing measures.
Checked
12 claims in this story checked against 1 source: 11 supported.
Show each claim
- SupportedThe headline says homelessness services are turning away desperate Australians as the crisis reaches a breaking point, according to a report.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “Homelessness crisis hits breaking point as services turn away desperate Australians.”
- SupportedThe summary says almost two-thirds of providers reject help seekers and some give out tents instead of shelter as soaring rents overwhelm services.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “almost two-thirds of homelessness providers are turning away desperate Australians they would once have helped”
- Partly supportedAlmost two-thirds of providers are turning away Australians in need.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “almost two-thirds of homelessness providers are turning away desperate Australians they would once have helped”
- SupportedA sector representative told researchers: “We have nothing to do but give people tents and suggest somewhere sort of safe to camp. Women leaving family violence are being asked, 'do you have a lock on your car?' And if you have a lock on your car, you're considered to be safe.”Brisbane Times - Latest News: ““We have nothing to do but give people tents and suggest somewhere sort of safe to camp,” the representative said. “Women leaving family violence are being asked, ‘do you have a lock on your car?’ And if you have a lock on your car, you’re considered to be safe.””
- SupportedThe report found 91 per cent of frontline services had experienced increased demand over two years, while 0.4 per cent reported a decline.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “found 91 per cent of frontline services had experienced increased demand over the past two years, while just 0.4 per cent reported a decline.”
- SupportedOfficial figures show 3.9 per cent of clients who needed long-term housing received it in 2024-25.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “official figures show just 3.9 per cent of clients who needed long-term housing received it in 2024-25.”
- SupportedMore than nine in 10 providers blame deteriorating rental affordability for increased demand, and 86 per cent say permanent accommodation has become harder to find over two years.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “More than nine in 10 providers blame deteriorating rental affordability for the surge in demand, while 86 per cent say finding permanent accommodation has become harder in the past two years.”
- SupportedThe briefing says 82 per cent of providers find temporary accommodation harder to secure and 95 per cent say social housing shortages limit their ability to help people escape homelessness.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “82 per cent of providers are finding it harder to secure even temporary accommodation, while 95 per cent agree social housing shortages are limiting their ability to help people escape homelessness.”
- SupportedHomelessness Australia is demanding 34,000 new social homes annually, income support of at least $600 a week, more federal funding for frontline services, and 20,000 permanent supportive housing places.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “Homelessness Australia is demanding 34,000 new social homes annually, income support payments increased to at least $600 a week, substantially more federal funding for frontline services, and 20,000 permanent supportive housing places”
- SupportedACOSS has called for payments including JobSeeker, Youth Allowance and Parenting Payment to be lifted to pension and supplement parity.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “a similar call from the Australian Council of Social Service to lift payments such as JobSeeker, Youth Allowance and Parenting Payment to parity with the pension and pension supplement”
- SupportedTreasurer Jim Chalmers has conceded the fiscal outlook is deteriorating, with debt forecast to exceed $1.2 trillion by 2030 and five-year cumulative deficits projected at $150.5 billion.Brisbane Times - Latest News: “Treasurer Jim Chalmers has conceded he is confronting a deteriorating fiscal outlook, with federal debt forecast to climb beyond $1.2 trillion by 2030 and cumulative budget deficits of $150.5 billion projected over five years.”
- SupportedKate Colvin said governments could no longer pretend minor changes would address the crisis, adding: “There are now so many points of vulnerability in our housing and homelessness system that the cracks are starting to join. Small patch-ups just won't do the job.”Brisbane Times - Latest News: ““There are now so many points of vulnerability in our housing and homelessness system that the cracks are starting to join. Small patch-ups just won’t do the job,” she said.”